A DAILY INNOCULATION AGAINST POLITICAL AND CULTURAL BULLSHIT

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"Plus ça change, cher, n'est-ce pas?" - Mémé Aureole Petite


"I'm desperate, Johnny. There's nowhere left to turn."
--- Watching Obama abandon the middle class

"I can't look at his face anymore. I can't listen to him speak. If I saw him in person, I'd throw my shoe."
--- Tweet takes the bold step of expressing his own opinion.

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Mr. Petite has been an adviser to both the Bush and Obama administrations (neither of which ever asked for his advice - and they certainly never took it, so don't blame Tweet) and is a Senior Fellow at (and is supported entirely by) the ETHICS AND THEORY INSTITUTE OF TERMINOLOGY (EATIT), a foundation underwritten by the parents of a United States Senator in return for Mr. Petite's silence on certain important matters. Which explains why he doesn't do TV.

Mr. Petite is a native of virtual New Orleans, and therefore a legal immigrant to his actual residence, so he has never had to do migrant farm work or landscaping. (He did do some shrimping in the virtual bayous on some of the days he played hookey from school.) The use of the word "onions" is metaphoric, or something. His sole contact with actual onions is in some of the better gumbos.

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Saturday, May 31, 2008

JUST IN CASE YOU THOUGHT ONLY REPUBLICANS WERE NUTS


Sam Stein on the Huffington Post:

When is a Reuben sandwich not just a Reuben sandwich? When one eats it amidst a denizen of rabidly committed, frequently vitriolic, and unapologetically devoted Hillary Clinton supporters.

The scene at Harry's Pub in the Marriott Hotel, downstairs from the site of the Rules and Bylaws Committee hearing, was emblematic of the double-edged sword that has become the Democratic primary. One the one hand was the political passion: the willingness to stand in solidarity over the idea of counting the votes in Michigan and Florida, even if such a protest was scheduled on a Saturday under torrential rain.

On the other hand were the battered emotions: the ardent vows to not support Sen. Barack Obama under any circumstances, the insistence that every insidious rumor concerning the Illinois Democrat was grounded in fact, the belief that the party itself had conspired in an effort to tear down the Clintons.

With half a dozen flat screen televisions turned to CNN, it was not difficult to ascertain just where the political and emotional center of the crowd stood. A table of three women did not deal in discretion. A sampling of their punditry:

"[Obama] is a cult. His campaign is an anti-woman cult."

"I will actively campaign against him."

"You know who is backing him is George Soros. It'll be George Soros, not Obama, who is running the country."

"South Dakota is totally rigged for Obama because of Tom Daschle. Obama's going to win South Dakota because he's buying it and rigging it."

"[Obama] is a socialist! You know what the Nazi Party was before it was the Nazi Party? It was the Socialist Party."

It was not all that different from the mood outside, where signs read, "At least slaves were counted as 3/5ths a Citizen," and some pamphlets detailed Obama's supposed dealings in drugs and gay sex.

"Would you rather have a president who had an affair [Bill Clinton] or one who was a murderer [Obama]?" Eve Fairbanks, a reporter with The New Republic, was asked by one protester.

Back in Harry's, passions did not ebb. Amidst the chatter came raucous cheers for any Clinton surrogate whose face popped up on the television screen. They were countered by derisive boos when CNN cut to a clip of DNC Chairman Howard Dean. It didn't matter what he said. You couldn't hear it over the crowd's hissing.

I approached a group of Clinton supporters sitting at the bar to pinpoint, exactly, the foundation of their emotions. Almost unanimously they agreed that if Florida and Michigan weren't seated in their entirety, they would never vote for Obama.

As women, were they comfortable with a candidate like John McCain who could potentially overturn Roe v. Wade?

"Oh don't pull that argument," said Valerie Duhaime of Florida. "Obama did not support a filibuster of [Supreme Court Justice Samuel] Alito and he was for [Chief Justice] John Roberts before he was against him."

Within the pub's confines, Obama was not the only persona non grata. The media, too, occupied a dark place in the crowd's heart. The group at the bar went through a litany of websites that they no longer read -- including the Huffington Post. "I only watch the BBC," said Duhaime. "We are outsourcing the fourth estate."

Shortly after revealing my publication, I was turned away. No worries, my lunch, a Reuben sandwich, had arrived. I pulled up my chair to the table and sat down to eat. Minutes later a chant began around me.

"HuffPost sucks! HuffPost sucks!" and later, "Fox News, fair And balanced! Fox News, fair and balanced!"


Now - I will concede that these people are not idiots but well-intentioned activists who went over the top ... if they will do the same re Michael Pfleger. Pfleger is NOT Obama's pastor (as states the headline over a Huffpo piece by Caryn Rousseau). He's a Chicago Catholic priest and activist who was invited to speak at Trinity Church not by Obama, who was not at the session and may not even have known of it. He crusades against guns, prostitution, porn and tobacco, and so Obama knows him from his days as a community organizer. He's definitely enchanted with the sound of his own voice - but name me a preacher who is not? For an activist with an agenda, he's not very bright - but then intelligence (as opposed to cunning) is not a requirement for religious office. David Axelrod has considered doing a documentary about him. He certainly does not speak for Obama.

Clinton has condemned what Pfleger said - which was impolite but in no way equivalent to calling Obama a Nazi and a murderer. Once again, I do not hear Hillary dressing these people down. Which necessarily means that she approves of those statements. In which case, all these people can go to hell.

"Fox News, fair and balanced?" I know we need their votes, but why are they calling themselves Democrats?

THIS HAS ALWAYS BEEN COMING. AND MORE OF THE SAME.



NOT WHAT I WAS TAUGHT

I can't understand half of what Kevin Phillips writes in Bad Money, because when I face finance industry terminology my eyes glaze over, as they do with all the obscurantist languages created by professions or sectors to make them look like scientists. But one thing I did understand, and it made me sick.

I remember in the '60s friends of mine built little Buddhist altars in their living rooms and chanted "Nam myoho renge kyo" - because, as they believed, if you chanted for a Cadillac, you got a Cadillac. I thought this was pretty stupid. But at least they were a small group.

Now, according to Phillips, 61% of evangelicals believe that God wants everyone to be rich, and if you are not it is because you have not sincerely accepted Christ. The incredibly popular bestseller The Secret preached that if you want something bad enough, and focus on that desire, you will obtain it. This is equally stupid, but the number of adherents makes it a real problem - firstly, because these people will vote Republican (because that's what Republicans preach), and secondly because - since we all can get everything if we do it right, and doing it right requires belief, not effort - it eliminated any possibility of public outrage over the transfer of public wealth to the wealthy and the staggering increases in net worth and compensation at the top of the scale while everyone else's income and assets remained stagnant. You couldn't blame the rich - who'd engineered this - for their success. Obviously, they must have had a better relationship with God, and who could attack anyone for that?

If you're that dumb, you deserve what you get. But the problem dilutes the number of people who could be in the streets screaming about inequality down to a number too small to be politically effective - which number includes people like me, who don't have a head for finance and who, for example, until recently had no idea what Bill Clinton was doing to us in the 90's. Maybe I deserve what I get, too. But this isn't how I was taught things should be.

Friday, May 30, 2008

WHY NOW?


All of a sudden, local Florida TV news is running stories about Charlie Crist's new girlfriend, who accompanied him to McCain's house last weekend.

The timing's a little suspicious. Any chance this story's being floated to counter the long-time rumors - widespread in Florida, but not proved - that Crist is gay? Why else would this woman be a story? Believe me, people aren't hanging on the latest word on who Crist is dating - male or female.

For more, read this - it's pretty interesting.

TODAY'S HOMEWORK

McClatchy on Iraq
I can't even comment on this one.

Thursday, May 29, 2008

WHAT'S WORSE THAN THE WORST?


Raymond J. Learsy reports that Congress is preparing to take the first, albeit tiny, step towards challenging Big Oil's rape of America by passing legislation that would end the sovereign immunity extended to OPEC by our courts for actions in restraint of trade.

Now, this is normally the kind of thing a president would initiate. But since our president doesn't believe that the government has any business impeding the profits of any corporation, it ain't coming from him. Hopefully, bigger and better will come from the next president.

I don't know if there's anything worse than being regarded as the worst president in history, but if there is, George W. Hoover is heading there fast.

NO IMPEACHMENT


Rep. Bob Wexler of Florida has for some time been insisting that Bush and Cheney be impeached. Scott McClellan's revelations have increased Wexler's drive.

Sure they should have been impeached. Two years ago. If those goniffs aren't guilty of high crimes and misdemeanors, then we owe Nixon an apology.

But there isn't time within the term of this administration to run an impeachment. There is some precedent for impeaching someone who is already out of office (In the Grant administration, Secretary of War W.W. Belknap was impeached even though he had already resigned.) But never a president or vice president.

Running impeachment hearings during a presidential campaign would distract the candidates and be a continuing source of news beyond the control of the candidates - something no candidate oould possibly put up with.

And an impeachment effort runs counter to Obama's message of inclusiveness. It would re-fragment a country which has begun to come together, and make Obama sound like a fool.

I don't think Wexler should drop it. I think the notion needs to be out there. But I'm very glad it isn't going anywhere.

BIG STATE STRATEGY


Clinton insists that, because she won most big states, she is the stronger candidate. She insists that Obama's small-state and caucus victories mean nothing. Well ..

In 2004, Terry McAuliffe (who ran the Democratic campaign and is now a major Clinton advisor) insisted that the Democrats concentrate on the big states and ignore everywhere else. The strategy was a failure, as we know.

In 2006, Howard Dean ran a 50-state strategy, looking for votes in every corner, which resulted in the Democrats taking Congress and electing (and still electing) Democrats in districts McAuliffe had written off.

McAuliffe has apparently learned nothing from this.

There is no reason (other than race) why Obama would not do as well as Clinton in any blue state (unless Hillary's female supporters are as stupid as they claim they intend to be, and vote for McCain) or that Clinton would do better in red states. There is some reason to believe that Obama, because he adheres to the 50 state strategy. might do better than Clinton in red states.

Clinton's strategy is old and tired. Her persona is still non grata. If it isn't over yet, it should be.

NOT ONE


What's fascinating about the Bush pushback on McClellan's book isn't what they're saying. It's what they aren't.

They say McClellan doesn't seem to be the same guy he was when he was in the White House. Obviously true, since he never said while press secretary what he said in his book.

They imply he is suffering from a mental disorder. I thought he was, when he was press secretary. He seems to have made a miraculous recovery.

They say he's disgruntled, trying to redeem his reputation. Probably.

They say if he thought what he says he thought, he should have said so sooner. True.

They say he's trying to make money with the book. True.

They say they're sad and puzzled. No. They're really pissed.

And not one of them has said that what McClellan said is wrong.

Is that a halo around Dana Perino's head? If so, can her confessions be very far behind?

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Wednesday, May 28, 2008

TODAY'S HOMEWORK

Check this out, and then browse this and/or this.

And this excellent article on Jim Webb.

HIS CHRISTIAN FAITH


Apparently in his new book Scott McClellan says (as paraphrased by Jennifer Loven)that his dramatic shift from defender to critic is a difficult act of personal contrition, a way to learn from his mistakes, be true to his Christian faith and become a better person.

I would like to know when he attained his faith - and if he had it when he took the job, why it did not instruct him then (as apparently it does now) that he had an obligation to tell the truth.

Is that an angel sitting on his finger? Is McClellan now born again? Is he having an Atwater moment? It's always refreshing, if he is, to find someone whom Jesus motivates toward contrition - rather than all of those whom Jesus pushes toward combat.

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DO KNOW-NOTHINGS KNOW MORE THAN THEY LET ON?


In view of what I wrote in my last post, I am beginning to wonder whether the anti-immigration movement represents an implicit comprehension by its members of the diminishing importance of the nation-state - and therefore of their own identities - in the era of globalization. At the level of consciousness, their probable thought process is that the integration of Mexican immigrants dilutes and disperses the power of their own culture, which they believe to have been dominant in America. But I think they're beginning to get that it's worse than that.

Lou Dobbs certainly gets it - but I will bet that his personal crusade against immigration is motivated by his resentment of his exclusion from the world power elite. He's probably aware that you can amass global power as an anti-globalist - but you have to lead the movement, not just yak about it.

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AFTER THE SHOCK DOCTRINE


After Naomi Klein's book, the next repository of important truth is David Rothkopf's Superclass: The Global Power Elite and the World They Are Making. Its point may not be new to you, but if it isn't, the book will confirm to you that the world is changing past the recognition of people who base their identities on their Americanism.

After reading only a bit of it (I'm continuing), I begin to understand why I have such nervousness about the Clintons. It is that they are part of the global elite, the elite which meets at Davos and elsewhere and is more attached to and identified with its own members than to the nations from which they come. And why shouldn't they be? Who wouldn't be seduced by the chance to transcend the rude world and live and work in what might as well be a colony on Mars (granted, with trips to the old world's pleasure spots from time to time)?

A number of these people are heads of state. But they have joined the global elite after, and as a result of, becoming heads of state - as Bill Clinton did. But it is entirely another matter to put a person who is already in the global elite into, for example, the presidency. I'm speaking of Hillary Clinton and John McCain, who is a regular attendee of Davos-type events (and who is, of course, married to megamillions). To these people, events in (and the nature of) the United States is relevant only 1) to the extent they affect their wealth or power (in which case they will approach the event not as an American but as a citizen of a virtual world), or 2) as an imposition of the views of the global class, sort of a noblesse oblige. The application of a theory of government which, if it fails, will have bloody little effect on them. (I think this is less true of McCain than Clinton, because his military background breeds a patriotism which I don't think he will ever entirely shuck.)

I don't know if Obama is there yet. Plenty of senators are, and because they are not term limited, Congress has the potential of becoming detached from America. But just as Obama will inevitably join the elite, whether he wins or not, the votes of regular Americans will keep feeding new candidates for the global elite into Congress, where it will be up to them and their behavior whether they will be allowed to join. For as long as they are not allowed in, they will govern as Americans. I guess what that means is that America will be protected by only the most mediocre of our politicians.

The ultimate worst-case scenario, if we elect one of the global elite as president, is that America becomes an odd little zoo, or a collection of cells on which experiments can be performed by a person who, when it gets down to it - unless they're a Roosevelt - could care less about the cells he or she is playing with, even if he or she actually believes he or she cares.

I said unless they're a Roosevelt, because I think it is possible that some member of the global elite will want to bring Americans into the new millenium because that member remembers where he or she came from.

But that ain't Clinton. It might be McCain - but I don't want to go where he wants to take us.

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Tuesday, May 27, 2008

WHY EDWARDS FOR VP?


From the beginning, Obama has had his finger on how to run the perfect campaign for these times - use of the internet, projection of the right image for this particular time, and giving the people what they (mostly) want - the truth.

But, aside from the war, Obama did not have his finger on the critical issues.

Edwards did.

As the economy crumbles, the public will become enraged at the outsourcing of jobs and even federal government functions, for the benefit of the rich; high CEO pay; the failure of government even to attempt to prevent subprime mortgages and other unregulated financial industry practices; tax cuts for the rich; the dismantlement of government programs assisting the average guy; coddling of wealthy cronies and lobbyists; the failure even to speak out against high gasoline and food prices, etc.

These are all money issues. And the big issue in this campaign will be money. Let things get bad enough and we may see a mini class war.

Edwards had it right from day one. And he still has it right. Bush is going to look like Hoover. And so will McCain, if Edwards pins the tail on the elephant. And here's the easy starter: under Bush lobbyists corrupted Congress completely; now McCain's staff is riddled with these criminals.

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CORRUPTION AND CRIMINALITY

In his May 23rd Journal, Bill Moyers pointed out that the government agencies in charge of finance did nothing in the face of the housing bubble and unwise mortgage practices; that the agencies in charge of mining did nothing to prevent the recent mining disasters; that the FAA considered its clients to be the airlines, not the public, and threatened a whistleblower on Southwest's lack of inspections with the loss not only of his job but that of his wife, who worked for a local public agency.

Now none of this should come as a surprise. It has been obvious that the Bush administration has purposely constructed a do-nothing government to keep it from interfering with his cronies and clients. And McCain needs to be called on this by Obama. Because I don't think the American people want to stand for any more of it.

But it goes further. After Congress passed whistleblower protection laws, the man charged by Bush with enforcing them in the Office of Independent Counsel, and enforcing the Hatch Act as well, is under investigation by the FBI for closing whistleblower complaints without investigating them, retaliating against whistleblowers on his staff and possibly erasing evidence from his hard drive.

60% of scientists working with the government on health and the environment state that they have been hindered by political interference.

Lurita Doan headed the General Services Administration, which is supposed to be non-partisan. But she directed her employees to work for Bush's re-election.

And there's more and more and more.

Whether you consider the Bush administration the most corrupt in the nation's history depends on where you stand politically. If you don't think appointing people to head federal agencies whose primary purpose is either 1) to promote the fortunes of the Republican party, 2) to pay off contributors with policy en masse (meaning particularly the disabling from within of the agency), or 3) both, is corrupt, then there's no corruption in Washington. If you don't think lobbyists directly controlling Congressmen is corruption, then it's clean as a whistle down there. The rest of us would do well to study the Grant administration, which has been until now considered America's most corrupt. I think you'll find the the types of corruption, and the climates which made them possible, are very similar between Grant and Bush - but Bush has added the substantial dimension of going beyond merely rewarding them he wants to reward, but permanently crippling the government so that it can never do anything to hinder the interests of the rich.

I bring this up because McCain is no doubt headed on the same track. Somebody no doubt has a complete list of all the corruptions, obstructions, etc. perpetrated by Bush and Rove. And McCain needs to be confronted - in ads, and with direct questioning by the media - not only on his general intentions but on his reaction to each one of these incidents of corruption. They will pile on top of each other from here to November, one a week or more, and McCain is going to look like a crook before he's through. And then add everything Rove did, everything Gonzalez did, Michael Brown, Chertoff and on and on and on and on ...

It seems to be forgotten now that probably the primary reason for the Democrats 2006 victories was not the war, but corruption and criminality. This was a huge issue then, and it needs to be huge now.

In other words, in this area - and in so many others (the entire history of the Bush administration, as reported in the newspapers and in all the books written about it) - it is not enough to accuse McCain of intending to serve Bush's third term. It is necessary to pin him down on every contemptible Bush move, including the conduct of the war and the appointments to the Supreme Court, the Justice Department fiasco, Jesus, the mind boggles.

The question to be asked is simple: "Do you approve of (X)?"

Specifics, not generalities. Starting right now. There's been such a pile of obscenities even I have forgotten most of them. We need to be reminded, and by the time we're through, McCain will be a nubbin and unelectable.

Anybody listening in the Obama campaign?

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LIEBERMAN: HE WORKS FOR WHOM?


Senator Joseph Lieberman is scheduled to headline Pastor John Hagee's 2008 Christians United For Israel Washington-Israel Summit this July 22.

Now, look - there are only two possible explanations:

1 - Lieberman is completely batshit.

2 - Lieberman is representing Israel, not Connecticut - and not all of Israel either, just the right wing.

If Lieberman claims - as McCain has - that he didn't quite know Hagee's mind, either he can be declared a liar, or he has a campaign staff more incompetent than the Bush administration. Anyone who bothered to look on the web could have known about Hagee.

But I don't think Lieberman will claim ignorance. I think he'll freely admit that he knows just what he's doing. Unfortunately, that is not being an American congressperson.

There actually is a reason to be glad Gore lost. Not a good reason. But a valid one. I wish Lieberman would cut it out. It isn't good for the Jews for one of our prominent folk to be seen as either a dummy or a man with suspect loyalties.

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Monday, May 26, 2008

ROBERT MURAINE: THIS IS GENIUS

HAGEL FOR VP? NO

Paul Abrams (see Today's Homework)suggests that if Obama sets a date certain in June to name his VP, he can push past Hillary's last ditch assault. That makes some sense to me, so the following becomes more relevant:

While I like Chuck Hagel immensely, his stand on abortion would make his selection as Obama's VP a slap in the face to the women who are with Hillary.

Hillary would be a slap in the face to many Obama supporters.

Richardson's a nice guy, but not a politician.

Biden's a loose cannon, and worth far more in the Senate. Ditto Chris Dodd - on the second point, not the first.

I'm still leaning Edwards. I'll take Jim Webb - his positions on gun control and immigration aren't great, but neither of these issues has a place in the selection of the next president. Webb has made some unfortunate statements about women in the military, but he's retracted them. If he makes a straight-forward mea culpa, that shouldn't matter much.

The next month is going to be fascinating.

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TODAY'S HOMEWORK

Jared Bernstein
Jeffrey Feldman
Chez Pazienza
Paul Abrams
Joshua Green

Sunday, May 25, 2008

DOESN'T GET IT


With all the worrying going on about McCain getting a free ride while the Democrats fight their internecine wars, it's seemed to me there was plenty of time to go after McCain when the wars were through. Now it appears we don't even have to wait that long.

Smarter Republicans recognize that if they are to salvage anything in 2008 they are going to have to step back from their principles for a while. The country is fed up with them for the moment. McCain was therefore the Republicans' best candidate - in theory - because he seemed not to be the typical Republican vicious bastard, and he appeared to be less hidebound in conservative dogma. The first may be true - not sure yet - but the second clearly is not.

McCain has always been only slightly to the left of Tom Delay, and then only on issues which involve the military. It's a lot to expect an old dog to change his spots - but in the face of the imperative to make at least some compromises, McCain seems completely helpless. This suggests that McCain is not as bright as we thought he was; possibly that he doesn't really understand the essence of the policies he favors (i.e., that he's a knee-jerk conservative), or the basis for his own appeal up to now, or the mood of the nation; and that he needs the presidency for his own self-esteem even more than Hillary.

It is otherwise impossible to understand how a bright Republican candidate, having seen what the Republicans (and Hillary) did to Obama over Reverend Wright, could stick with the endorsements of Hagee and Parsley. It is impossible to understand how a candidate whose entire career is founded on support for the military does not vote for the GI bill. It is impossible to understand how, after Abramoff, a candidate would surround himself with lobbyists.

The answer seems to be befuddlement - and, perhaps, the Peter principle. McCain has finally risen to the point at which he is unable to cope with what he has to. And there are going to be more and worse mistakes.

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Saturday, May 24, 2008

INTO THE GOOD NIGHT


Shlomo Ben-Ami, former Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs, wrote the following in Le Figaro, obviously without consulting AIPAC in advance (sorry, accents not available in my fonts):

"Sa victoire a couper le souffle contre les armees arabes en 1967 n'a pas selement confere de la grandeur a Israel. Elle a aussi condit a un declin moral et politique. Quarante ans apres ce conflit, Israel est encore incapable de s'extraire de l'occupation de terres palestiniennes et de la marche folle de l'expansions des colonies.

"C'est le paradoxe de l'existence d'Israel, un sentiment de puissance mele a une peur apocalyptique de l'aneantissement ... L'experience historique des Juifs ne les incite pas non plus a la concilation. La crise de conscience juive en passant de l'Holocauste a un Etat n'a pas encore ete totalement surmontee. En donnant une reponse territoriale a la peur atavique des Juifs, Israel a ete trop longtemps incapable de briser les murs de l'heritage juif ...

"Une triste constante du conflit israelo-arabe veut qu'aucune guerre perdue par une partie arabe humiliee n'a precipite d'accord de paix, pas plus qu'une guere largement gagnee par Israel n'a incite des dirigeants a se montrer magnanimes. Leur percees vers la paix ont presque invariablement commence par des geste arabes, et pas israeliens. Ce fut le cas avec la guerre in 1973 declenchee par le president Sadate dans le but de forcer les Etats-Unis a negocier une paix entre l'Egype et Israel. Ce fut aussi le cas de l'Intifada palestinienne de 1987 qui a contraint Israel a abandonner le confort de l'inertie et a s'engager dans un processus qui culmina avec les accords d'Oslo."

That is a perspective I have heard from no other Jew.

He also points out (I'm translating and paraphrasing now) that the Israeli psyche now oscillates between "Tel Aviv" and "Jerusalem." "Tel Aviv" is secular and focused on economics. It has replaced the pioneer spirit with longings for modernity, liberalism and normalcy (haven't we all, looking out from Starbucks Nation.) It wants to take its place in the global village and escape from "Jerusalem"'s provincial Judaism. And "Jerusalem" views this normalcy as superficial, almost a crime of indifference toward the depth of the Jewish memory and the lessons of history which bring a profound fear of Arabs and unchanging distrust of gentiles and the international community.

Why is it that, here in America, we only hear about "Jerusalem"? If you listened only to AIPAC, you wouldn't know that "Tel Aviv" exists. (Well, sure, AIPAC likes to crow about Israeli scientific and financial achievements, but doesn't want to credit the profoundly secular for those.)

"Jerusalem"'s attitude is certainly understandable. The history of which they fear a repetition is undeniable. But sooner or later you have to put the past behind you, or, like Osama Bin-Ladin, you become its captive and you cannot move forward to new accomplishments.

Some Israelis - and lots of American Jews - use the Holocaust to justify disrespecting others and claiming a dominance which they don't really need. Of course the Holocaust must never be forgotten - but it should not be lived with every day, it should not define the Jew's future relationship with the world. Things are pretty good for Jews these days, for the most part. It would be helpful if we could drop the fear and extend ourselves a bit.

Obama is presenting America with that opportunity - which, no doubt, is why so many older Jews are afraid of him. I find it remarkable that a majority of the posts I read which favor Obama are written by Jews, despite the "official" Jewish mistrust of Obama. This progressive slant is what I expect from Jewish writers - or used to, until the rise of the neocons. That rise was attributable to two things, both of them unfortunate: Jewish focus on self-aggrandizement and the abandoning of the ethic of pre-Reagan Judaism; and excessive focus on the Holocaust, making Israel the prime, and sometimes only, concern. That was a product of history for Jews who grew up in or shortly after the Holocaust era. But it isn't the history of young Jews today - although a fair number of them are retreating even further back into history, to the East European Orthodoxy that the founders of Israel hated and intended to destroy. These young Jews seem to be incapable of grasping that true spirituality lies in engagement with the rest of the world.

They, and the older Jews, can't change, and we shouldn't expect them to. But nor can we allow them to define the relationship of the next generation of Jews to the world at large. They need to go gently into the good night of personal disengagement from politics, leaving behind them enough of their awareness that we don't forget. And they need to go before they poison the new century.

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WHY DO REPUBLICANS NEED TO RUN A PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE?


Current gas prices are emblematic of what's wrong with turning the government over to Republicans.

I don't know whether a president could actually do much about these prices. Price controls are a possibility. But more important is a president standing down the oil companies to the extent his bully pulpit has any efficacy. Or at least convening a serious summit on what to do, including foreign affairs experts (not our amateur Secretary of State), alternate energy experts, oil experts etc.

Bush has done none of that, nor will he - because Bush doesn't believe governments should intervene in the affairs of the markets (unless one of his client corps is in trouble, which big oil certainly isn't). That includes, for example, enforcing antitrust laws (what's going on now is illegal price collusion if ever there was such). He didn't even want to stop supplying our emergency oil supply (which, I agree with him, would make next to no difference at all.) He believes in the free market, as he defines it, which means the freedom of oil companies to do whatever they want. In fact, there is no oil market, because there is no organized demand side. It's big corporations against Joe Sixpack at the pump, who has neither the interest (so far) or the ability to combine with others to exert some pressure in the market. He doesn't even remember - if he ever knew - the reason there were unions a long time ago. And big corporations whose business is impacted by the price of oil - food, freight transportation, etc. - know perfectly well old Joe is not going to act if the price of food doubles in the next three months. They can feel perfectly comfortable passing the costs on to consumers.

If you're going to let big corporations run rampant over everyone, why even bother to have a government? Why doesn't Bush go back to Crawford now and spend the rest of his term cutting brush? If it weren't for his toy-soldier militarism and his intent to use the government to impose "family values," I imagine that's exactly what he would do - unless he feels he hasn't quite dismantled enough of our government yet to announce "mission accomplished", state withered away.

So why vote for McCain? Why not just vote for Exxon? Or why, if you're a Republican, even acknowledge the pretense? There's only one reason Republicans would want the presidency (aside from ego, feelings of superiority and the desire to kick some ass)- to keep a Democrat from reversing 30 years of Republican policy. For that, they could pick anyone. Your neighbor Jack for President. How about a New York cop, a hero of 9/11? How about Jenna Bush?

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HILLARY CLINTON'S CAMPAIGN STRATEGY

MEMEMEMEMEMEMEMEMEMEMEMEMEMEMEMEMEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEE!

TODAY'S HOMEWORK

Chris Kelly on the Huffington Post
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

THE WORST CASE


An analyst on CNBC predicted that the price of a gallon of gas would rise to $12-$15 a gallon.

Why stop there? Why not $30-$40? Theoretically, the price will rise to the level that enough consumers world-wide are willing and able to pay to keep enough oil selling to satisfy the producers. Those consumers are not likely to include the vast majority of American citizens, who will - all things remaining the same - be priced out of the market.

It may take 15 years to develop enough Asian and Latin American consumers to keep sales at a level acceptable to producers at $40 levels. But that's where the development ultimately will take place - and perhaps in Europe, too. I see no reason to assume any large number of US citizens will ever be able to afford gas at those prices, unless the increased price is only the result of overall inflation with which wages and income keep up.

Nor do I think we ought to expect any price restraint from producers primarily for the benefit of Americans. Bush just tried that, and it didn't work. And at those prices (costs remaining relatively level), the producers will have no incentive to produce more oil, since profits will be staggering and they will no doubt prefer to hang onto their primary asset as long as they can.

Of course, things will not remain the same. Most of the producers are now state-run entities, so there need not be pressure to nationalize production. But in those countries still hanging onto common sense, revolutions will threaten if gas gets too high. So outside the US the increase will have to be relatively slow.

Inside the US, however, there's no such inherent guarantee. You would expect with the huge profits oil companies now show that there would be demands in this country for the nationalization of at least US produced oil, followed by price controls. But it seems that sort of thing is still anathema to Americans, even the ones who are working at minimum wage. That is the real consequence of the Reagan years.

So with gasoline prices skyrocketing and corporations insistent on keeping wage-earner's salary low, how would Americans deal with the situation? It will be quite a while - if ever - before cars which run on anything else become generally available, and ethanol, as we've already seen, solves one problem by creating a worse one. By the time there are such cars, most Americans will not be able to afford one.

Putting price controls on gasoline is not likely to work for long. With demand increasing all over the world, any oil company could simply make the decision not to sell gas here. If the government tried to compel American companies to do so, they could simply move to the Caymans and that would be that.

We could invade a producer and take the oil. We just tried that, though, and it didn't work out so well.

There is only one short term solution, it seems to me. That is for the US government to buy foreign oil and sell gasoline at less than its cost. That would require a good deal more taxation, which Americans aren't inclined to support - even if the people taxed are only the wealthiest (reason being, we're all going to hit the lottery and when we do we don't want to give it to the govt.)

Oh, well, this is a worst case scenario. The thing is, though, it seems to me that we're in the worst case.

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Friday, May 23, 2008

TEXAS


In light of Senator Clinton's comment today about Bobby Kennedy, this is my advice to Senator Obama:

If you're the party's candidate, don't campaign in Texas. Write the state off. Give it to McCain.

Rove, Gonzalez, Bush, Meir, Delay, Waco, John Hagee, polygamists. More executions than in all other states combined. A Republican party which supports the abolition of the IRS and the elimination of the income tax, inheritance tax, gift tax, capital gains, corporate income tax, payroll tax and property tax, and the abolition of the Bureau of Tobacco and Firearms, the position of Surgeon General, the Environmental Protection Agency, the Departments of Energy, Housing and Urban Development, Health and Human Services, Education, Commerce and Labor, and the de-funding or abolition of the National Endowment for the Arts, and Public Broadcasting System. The people who wrote this incredible 2004 party platform, and this even more incredible one in 2000. (This one, from 2006, seems to have been shaped in part by libertarians.)

Texas harbors maniacs and endorses mania. It is the core of political evil in America. Don't go there. They won't vote for you. You'll win anyway.

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THE FIRST STEP

The essence of Drew Westen's The Political Brain is that, since before Reagan, Democrats have failed to brand themselves or redefine the brands the Republicans have successfully created both for "liberals' and for Republicans. He points out that the Democrats' platform has not been sold as a consistent whole but is made up of a collection of single issues pressed by single-issue organizations who don't seem to be able to think beyond their own issue.

Take abortion, for example. Democrats present it as a matter of womens' rights - which is easily translatable by the opposition into a feminist issue. And in fact most of the organizations pressing for "abortion rights" are in fact aggressively feminist.

But abortion is not just a feminist issue. Plenty of women who face abortions have no sympathy or identification with either the idea of "womens' rights" or the people demanding them. Westen quotes Susan Blustain, who notes that the current generations do not know about coat hanger abortions. They see no reason to celebrate abortions - in fact, they find them tragic and wish they had another realistic choice. I don't doubt that many of them do consider abortion murder. They just are unable to support or sustain a child.

To me, the Democratic brand ought to be: America is one community, and we need to care for all of us. In fact, America is a sub-community of the world, and we ought to be caring about others, too. We need to try to do the best we can for all, within the restraints of what is possible. We need to advance, protect and defend freedoms for all of us and the equal chance to become whatever a person wants to be.

You don't do that by screaming at pro-lifers. You don't do that by seeing abortion only as a tool to advance feminism. You need to be sympathetic to people who have problems with abortions. You need to recognize - above all - that an abortion is a horrible, anquishing thing. But, you go on, women must be free to entertain them if they have no other reasonable choice. And for those who do have them, we have the utmost sympathy, and we should try to help them to get over their grief.

If Democrats take this approach with all the issues dividing us - offer themselves as a sympathetic community to all (except those who simply will not be reasoned with or consoled, who simply want to hate and have chosen Democrats as their targets) - there is little rational reason a Republican would hate us. And that's the first step toward bringing them in.

The second step is to condemn Republican operators - not Republican voters, but the people who run the party. More on that another time.

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TODAY'S HOMEWORK

From the Huffington Post
And another

TO ACKERMAN:


At an Obama event in a synagogue in Boca Raton, a man named Ackerman got up and announced that if Obama was nominated he would vote for McCain because Obama wasn't strong enough on Israel.

I wish I was there. If I had been, this is what I would have asked Ackerman:

Is Israel the only thing that matters to you? If so, why aren't you living there?

If not, do you agree with McCain's other positions? Do you want him to appoint two Supreme Court justices? If so, why are you at an Obama event?

If not, and you vote for McCain, you're an idiot.

And the same goes for all the Clinton women who say they'll vote for McCain. One-issue people are dangerous, no matter what the issue is or what side of it they're on. The world is not a one-issue place. As I understand it.

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Thursday, May 22, 2008

TODAY'S HOMEWORK

Richard Laermer on the Huffington Post
R.J. Eskow in the same

THE WORST


Every time I start to feel kindly towards Hillary Clinton, she does something that fills me with contempt. Comparing the necessity of counting FL and MI votes - thereby (she hopes) electing her - to the moral imperatives of the civil rights movement is actually beneath contempt - so far, the worst thing she's ever done.

What she's really saying is: I've taken a lot of crap in my life, and now you owe me. Well, she hasn't taken crap from me or other Democrats (until we started throwing back the crap she was throwing at us.) So we don't owe her anything. I'll give her this: Bill owes her, and so do a lot of Republicans. Unfortunately, she's running for the wrong party's nomination.

She doesn't seem to realize that the reason for this campaign is to choose a candidate, not to validate her. I could not vote for a person who will consider his or her life misspent if he or she does not achieve as much as or better than what his or her mistreating spouse did. Her psychological issues are none of my business, and no basis on which to select a president.

On the other hand, it is possible that her need to say the things she is now saying is not her personal need, but the need of the people behind her. Republican candidates say anything to keep their sponsors in power. Maybe that's what she's doing now. If so, the contempt rises higher in my gorge. Some day she'll be gone. I just don't know if it will be before I upchuck over this race.

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FIONA TALES


Fiona doesn't like to clean her house. She doesn't want people to know that she doesn't clean her house, so nobody gets to come to her house - not for dinner, for lunch or to chat.

She doesn't like to pick things up from where she dropped them. She doesn't like to put things away.

But one day a week Fiona cleans the house, picks things up and puts them away. That is the day the housecleaner comes. Fiona doesn't clean with the housecleaner. She cleans before the housecleaner comes, so the housecleaner doesn't know Fiona doesn't like to clean.

Fiona is a very odd duck.

N.B.: Fiona is not Maureen Dowd. She doesn't even look like Maureen Dowd. But I needed a picture, and Maureen Dowd looks like what a Fiona should look like.

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Wednesday, May 21, 2008

BAD MONEY


Kevin Phillips, in his new book Bad Money (about which I will no doubt have more to say), points out that the primary drivers of American inequality and economic difficulties are oil and the financial industry. He also points out that Bush is tied to oil, and the Clintons are tied to finance.

Obama and McCain - so far as is yet obvious - are not particularly tied to either, although surrounded as he is by lobbyists, one has to wonder about McCain. But wouldn't it be nice if, for a change, we had a president who was not the implement, if not the commander, of the forces that are getting grossly rich at our expense?

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FOR A CHANGE


I fled the living room after an hour of American Idol - the longest Vegas lounge show in history. I was sitting at the keyboard working on this blog when I heard the immediately identifiable voice of a truly great talent. It wasn't a contestant - they were all cookie-cutter singers. It wasn't Donna Summer - she's given in (like everyone else) to Mariah-Careyitis, and I couldn't tell her apart from any other black singer these days.

No, it was Gladys Knight - and damn it was good to see and hear her! She looks great and sounds great. Where has she been?

It was sad that they chose to back her with foolish antics (if you didn't see it, good for you, and I won't spoil your day) as if her talent, by itself, wasn't enough. But right there was living proof of what I've been saying for years: most Americans wouldn't know real genius if they got free tickets to it. If they can't tell who's a singer and who's a parrot of current culture, why should I expect them to know real talent in a presidential candidate?

On the other hand, if it turns out they do recognize presidential talent, can a revival of American music be far behind?

Woodstock politics to Woodstock songs? And a chance to be thrilled by somebody real for a change?

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NICE


A week after Bush tells Israel talking to your enemies amounts to appeasement, Israel reveals that it has been in talks with Syria for over a year. Read this and this and then ruminate on this: Clinton and McCain don't want to talk either (I suspect Clinton really would talk, but she's busy pandering these days). Obama is the only American candidate even vaguely in sync with the rest of the world (Chuck Hagel thinks so). You have to wonder if the US - an insular, politically and intellectually backward state if there ever was one (one out of eight US high school science teachers are teaching creationism as valid science) - can deal with a president who wants to be part of that world.

It would be nice, though, to be able to go back to Sienna and have a cappuccino at a sidewalk cafe without having to define it with six Starbucks words and without wondering whether the locals think I'm a typical American idiot.

I do note that the level of political discourse in America is rising this year (see Jim Webb's comments on race and Hagel's insightful comments cited above, although they had to be delivered in private at the home of the Italian ambassador). They say things are changing. Maybe they are.

A personal note: as the linked articles point out, the talks with Syria raise the issue of returning the Golan Heights. I dealt with that issue in my recently released novel "The Tenth Cow", without any idea that it might be moving to center stage. That's the kind of prescience I like to think I have once in a while. The book's a great read, by the way, if I do say so myself.

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WOW!

A politician with feelings ... about someone else?

Maybe a few years in the KKK should be mandatory for pols. Or maybe just getting old and closer to death. Look what a fatal illness did for Lee Atwater.

video

You have to love this man.

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Tuesday, May 20, 2008

HAMAS IS THINKING

I am flabbergasted!

I could have sworn that Tom Friedman was squarely in the pockets of AIPAC and the Likud. (After all, he did hype the war in Iraq as good for Israel.) But his new op-ed piece suggests that he is not.

He begins with three quotes which he suggests might be from Obama to the effect that the Palestinians must have their own state and Israel must get out of the West Bank. These "quotes" strike terror in the hearts of American Jews, who are terrified of Obama. It turns out, though, that it was George Bush who uttered them.

I am amazed that some - perhaps many - American Jews plan to vote Republican on the sole hypothesis that Republicans are good for Israel. As Friedman points out, however, to the extent Bush has weakened America he has also weakened Israel, which needs the US to survive. And he also notes that Israeli settlements on the West Bank are not in America's interest. In the long run, they can't be good for Israel, either.

Change of heart? Or a short-circuited synapse? I've never understood people whose reason was functional in fits and starts. It's like in some areas of political discourse, Friedman's subconscious takes over - I was going to say his instincts, but instincts are supposed to protect you, and if they force you to promulgate bullshit that's not protection. (Well, maybe in America today, it is.) And if so, his subconscious is not a healthy place.

But this one's good, as far as it goes.

Along the same lines, but even better, an AP article says that Abbas's government, and even Hamas, don't want the support of Osama bin-Laden because he's seen as too extreme and will turn people off. In other words, both seek respect. So why don't we give them some? Bush and McCain and Israel, who refuse to talk to Hamas, might learn a bit of pragmatism from Hamas. You have to wonder if, these days, only the US stands on "principle" and a complete unwillingness to see anything of value in what the other side has to say. (Even Iran has its pragmatic side.) Which could explain why we don't seem to be going anywhere but down.

Hamas is thinking. What exactly is it we're doing, Condi?

KNEE-JERKS


Belatedly, on the subject of Hillary Clinton's comment that she has the support of hard-working white people:

That isn't racist. It's (at the moment) true. Hillary has no more played the race card than Obama has played the gender card. Those who claim the comment was racist are:

1) playing the race card themselves;
2) the kind of PC I thought we were doing away with;
3) sticking their heads way up their asses, because to assume race is not a factor in this campaign is the kind of willful innocence that loses elections; and
4) if intended as a mere tactic against Hillary, is obnoxious, Republican and worthy of contempt.

Goddam knee-jerks.

COMES THE END


According to Dan Balz in the Washington Post, Hillary Clinton's "advisers say that a major reason she does not want to be pressured out of the race is that she believes it will be easier to bring her supporters over to Obama once the primaries are over if they think she was able to finish the nomination battle on her own terms."

I don't know if that's true, or if it will work, but I think it's very wise. I suspect that, behind the scenes, Hillary is making an effort to assuage the anger her more devoted supporters are feeling towards Obama. I commend her for that, and I feel my own anger towards her abating.

I have never felt that she should be pressured to get out of the race. As matters now stand, both she and Obama can feel free to go after McCain rather than each other. If there's a big change and Clinton is nominated, it will not be because of things she has said or will say about Obama.

But this has to end before the convention. I think Hillary is entitled to her day at the convention (assuming Obama is nominated). It should be a big day. But it should end - and I think it will - with her joining his campaign. And getting rid of Howard Wolfson, who, I don't think, will be capable of doing that or welcomed by Obama.

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DOUBLE STANDARD


On Salon, Gary Kamiya writes an article castigating the media for not requiring McCain to denounce John Hagee and Rod Parsley while insisting that Obama denounce Farrakhan and Wright.

This is the old "double standard" argument, which I last heard pre-9/11 when people condemned Israel for acting immorally while saying nothing about Arab barbarianisms.

Sure, it's unfair. But you have to take it in context.

No one believes Republicans are capable of real morality. On those rare occasions when they behave decently (I mean collectively - individual Republicans are capable of personal moral acts. I know a few who have been really nice to me.), there ought to be a rainbow to mark the moment. The type of criticism you receive is defined by others' expectations of you. If every day you slobber spaghetti sauce on your tie, the only comment you're likely to get is on the one day your tie stays clean.

So, actually, the pressure on Obama re Wright is the highest praise. The media believe he is capable of better. But I admit it's odd that McCain is being judged as a typical Republican, when the media have been saying for years that he's a "straight talker." Maybe in their hearts of hearts they know he's not. I just hope they get around to saying so.

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TWEET IS VALIDATED - AGAIN


From the Huffington Post, by John S. Johnson:

When Profit, Freedom, and Creativity Collide

Posted May 20, 2008 | 01:25 AM (EST)

Every year, Eyebeam, the arts and technology center I co-founded, honors someone who helps celebrate or perpetuate freedom and creativity. We do this because freedom and creativity can't be honored enough - and indeed aren't. Anyone involved in art or technology -- anyone trying to do something new -- knows that freedom and creativity go together.

True creativity isn't possible without freedom of thought; and true freedom is the result of a creative spark. Yet, there are many powerful forces in our culture that aren't comfortable with real freedom. They seek to narrowly define it, for instance, as "being free to shop where and when you like." They believe in the "free market," but not in marketing freedom of thought. They love it as a slogan in a speech, but not when it is put into practice.

And creativity is just fine when it comes to "creative accounting" or the creation of new kinds of banking products -- but not so much when the innovation is directed at something other than the bottom line.

At the heart of this discomfort with freedom and creativity lies our societal suspicion of anything that cannot be commodified or monetized. American culture is so good at monetizing things, it's become both our national pastime and our ultimate goal. If we could monetize a heartbeat, we'd do it in a heartbeat -- and make a gadgillion dollars in the process. Don't get me wrong. I'm not against profit being among our priorities, but as it eclipses every other ideal we are slowly but surely finding ourselves in the Never-Neverland of a world we don't recognize anymore.

Because freedom and creativity, when not in service of the money-making machine, are suddenly eyed as warily as a stranger in a small town. No longer seen as a virtue, they are suddenly seen as threats. To stasis. To groupthink. To the status quo. If this sounds like hyperbole, allow me to remind you of the gentleman who was hauled off in handcuffs from a shopping mall in Albany a few years ago for wearing a t-shirt that said: "Give peace a chance."

As I said, without real freedom we lose even the chance of creativity. And if there is one thing the world cannot afford to sacrifice at this perilous time, it's the potential for creative solutions and innovative ideas.

Fortunately, within this profit uber alles universe, streaking across the sky like shooting stars, are a few role models for those of us who want to start a business but want to continue to be a part of the movement to humanize the world.

Role models like Craig Newmark, this year's Eyebeam honoree. Craig is the founder of Craigslist, that remarkable place that connects people to people and to the things they are looking for. A long lost relative, a desperately needed kidney or a second hand Schwinn, a forlorn love poem... all of these have been looked for and found on Craigslist.

In a sense, Craigslist has become a mirror of our society -- and, as an inevitable result of that, it has achieved some notoriety among the set that prefer to abolish unwelcome reflections rather than deal with the real issues and problems the reflection has exposed.

In the meantime, Craigslist has fostered a community that is both local and international and has helped to provide millions of stories that illustrate that people, at heart, and when given the chance, are basically good and helpful and trustworthy.

But Craigslist has achieved an even greater notoriety for what it hasn't done. By some accounts, Craigslist is potentially worth over $2 billion but Craig and his business partner Jim Buckmaster have decided that attempting to monetize the site further would disrupt the beautiful community that's grown, and they have flat out said: "No thanks; we're fine just as we are." They have embraced the concept of Enough. The site generates enough money as it is to run well. They make enough money to live comfortably.

At first, their declarations of "enough" were met with stunned silence on Wall Street. There were many tilted heads and narrowed eyes as people assessed: "What's their angle? They must want more money! Okay, here's more money." But Craig and Jim just smiled and said, "Really... no thanks. Go invest in someone else." And that's when the accusations started: "They must be Communists!"

I find it very ironic that these Wall Street people, so mired in their own ideology that they are blind to a successful business choosing to chart a path different than the dictates of their Milton Friedman bible, are calling people Communists when they remind me of nothing so much as the old school Marxists who just couldn't see that their train was off the tracks. How out of whack must you be that you are scandalized by the idea of making a sustainable business that expresses your values and the values of your community?

In a sense, at the root of these attacks is the fact that Craig has articulated a powerful vision of how business can be -- and hopefully will be more often in the future. This is profoundly unsettling to the "He Who Has the Most Toys Wins" set.

I believe that Craig is living his values and, together with Jim and millions of other people, is shaping something genuine -- and frequently even beautiful -- for us all. By marshaling his creativity and embracing his freedom, Craig shows us that you don't have to be a starry eyed idealist to simply live your values.

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Monday, May 19, 2008

ENDORSEMENT?


I just started reading The Political Brain: The Role of Emotion in Deciding the Fate of the Nation, by Drew Westen. The front cover carries an endorsement by "President Bill Clinton": "Westen's suggestions for what candidates should say - and should have said - should be read and studied by anyone who wants to understand modern American politics."

I found the following on page 15: "If you think about voters as calculating machines who add up the utility of your position on "the issues," you will invariably find yourself scouring the polls for your principles. And as soon as voters perceive you as turning to opinion polls instead of your internal polls - emotions, and particularly your moral emotions - they will see you as weak, waffling, pandering and unprincipled."

Looks like Bill didn't give his copy to Hillary.

DREAMGIRLS


I think I already bitched about the movie Dreamgirls - but I feel like doing it again.

Whatever the merits of the story line - which was about as formulaic as it gets - compare any song from the score with the Supremes "Come See About Me" - and then tell me which is great music and which is boring crap. Great songs have great melodies, or great beats, or both. Great records have a unique identifiable sound. Great singers put the song across, not themselves. Dreamgirls fails on all three counts.

Not that anyone cares any more. It's in the cutout bins now. But for future reference: all three of the Dreamgirls singers were technically adept - but if I closed my eyes I couldn't tell one from the other. Great singers don't sound like everybody else.

Sorry.

NICE TRY


Okay, Arianna, you're right. Hillary Clinton's candidacy has been a triumph for all women.

But do you really think Hillary is going to buy this variation on Nixon's Vietnam exit strategy, declare victory and get out? Because I bet that's why you're saying this.

Nice try.

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MORAL ISSUES


MoveOn's latest mass emailing makes the following statement: "we can't afford a president whose closest adviser lacks a moral compass."

Well, my God, that's surely true.

Actually, we can't afford a president who lacks a moral compass. We've had a whole bunch of those these latter days.

But MoveOn is focusing on Charlie Black, McCain's chief advisor who has been a lobbyist for some of the world's worst dictators. Okay, guys, that's a moral issue. But it is certainly not one of the big moral issues. If you're going to talk "moral issues," let's talk turkey here. Don't blow the thrust on a little guy.

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IF ...


The previous two posts here suggest reasons why the world - and America - should be on the verge of a populist revolution. Yet there's no sign of any such - and the reasons are obvious.

Worldwide, all populist movements in the last sixty years have been defined as "terrorist" or at least "Communist," and wiped out physically, as, for example, through Pinochet in Chile. The triumph of worldwide capitalism announced in 1989 with the end of the Berlin Wall has in fact been a triumph for capitalists who have been prepared mentally, emotionally, morally and by training to "do what's necessary" for economic success - which is to operate as Friedmanites and, with few exceptions, to give less than a damn about they people they trample upon. There simply is no one left out there to put up a fight. At the moment, anyway.

As for America: With populism identified as Communism, and Communism identified either with totalitarian regimes or whackos out in the jungle, Americans have been taught and cajoled to hate populists since the end of WWII. They have been sold, and have bought into, the idea that capitalism lifts all boats. Which is exactly what it did, until it lost its soul. Now it sees all but corporate execs as exploitable assets, or "consumers" - although their ability to consume is rapidly declining as a direct result of capitalist depredations. They identify with the people who are pushing them down. Ronald Reagan saw to that.

John Edwards was the first notable politician in years to take a populist stand. Capitalists didn't even need to beat him down - Americans did it voluntarily. But now that things are going to hell in a handbasket, his message is resonating - although I don't believe Americans understand what he was talking about, or why they are in the position they are in. All they know is that they need help, and Edwards sounded like he was willing to give it to them.

Obama is picking up the message, and that's dangerous - for him. I said a few posts ago that he fit the criteria for the Antichrist. Among those criteria is a platform for social justice. (If you don't believe me, read LaHaye.) Activist Christians have been taught that capitalism is a part of their religion. They can be easily triggered to do Obama in by the forces that really need him out of the way.

The following is morbid speculation.

You might think that a martyred Obama would set the people afire. I don't think so. I don't think most people can be set afire anymore. It's all too complex and they're too tired and they need to work their abs. I think back to the deaths of Kennedy and King. You might have thought that either of those would have strengthened - or at least continued - the movements they were identified with. In fact, though, those deaths put an end to those movements - either because there was no one to take their places, or because people were so utterly depressed by the deaths. Sure, the blacks rioted - but not in a focused way, because their only remaining leaders were midgets with revenge on their mind.

So who will step in if Obama catches it? Edwards, I think, is the only hope - because I think he believes what he's been saying these last few years, and I don't think he's afraid of anyone. That's the reason I want to see him in the vice presidency. And that's why it's important that, in making his choice, Obama consider what's good for the cause and not his election per se.

And then there's this final point: all revolutions wind up replacing an oligarchy with another one. Sometimes, though, the benefits do spill over to the multitudes. So - we can only hope.

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DON'T TRUST THE CLINTON'S DOG


In case you wondered why I don't trust any Clinton (including the dog):

From The Nation, by Walden Bello:


When tens of thousands of people staged demonstrations in Mexico last year to protest a 60 percent increase in the price of tortillas, many analysts pointed to biofuel as the culprit. Because of US government subsidies, American farmers were devoting more and more acreage to corn for ethanol than for food, which sparked a steep rise in corn prices. The diversion of corn from tortillas to biofuel was certainly one cause of skyrocketing prices, though speculation on biofuel demand by transnational middlemen may have played a bigger role. However, an intriguing question escaped many observers: how on earth did Mexicans, who live in the land where corn was domesticated, become dependent on US imports in the first place?

The Mexican food crisis cannot be fully understood without taking into account the fact that in the years preceding the tortilla crisis, the homeland of corn had been converted to a corn-importing economy by "free market" policies promoted by the International Monetary Fund (IMF), the World Bank and Washington. The process began with the early 1980s debt crisis. One of the two largest developing-country debtors, Mexico was forced to beg for money from the Bank and IMF to service its debt to international commercial banks. The quid pro quo for a multibillion-dollar bailout was what a member of the World Bank executive board described as "unprecedented thoroughgoing interventionism" designed to eliminate high tariffs, state regulations and government support institutions, which neoliberal doctrine identified as barriers to economic efficiency.

Interest payments rose from 19 percent of total government expenditures in 1982 to 57 percent in 1988, while capital expenditures dropped from an already low 19.3 percent to 4.4 percent. The contraction of government spending translated into the dismantling of state credit, government-subsidized agricultural inputs, price supports, state marketing boards and extension services. Unilateral liberalization of agricultural trade pushed by the IMF and World Bank also contributed to the destabilization of peasant producers.

This blow to peasant agriculture was followed by an even larger one in 1994, when the North American Free Trade Agreement went into effect. Although NAFTA had a fifteen-year phaseout of tariff protection for agricultural products, including corn, highly subsidized US corn quickly flooded in, reducing prices by half and plunging the corn sector into chronic crisis. Largely as a result of this agreement, Mexico's status as a net food importer has now been firmly established.

With the shutting down of the state marketing agency for corn, distribution of US corn imports and Mexican grain has come to be monopolized by a few transnational traders, like US-owned Cargill and partly US-owned Maseca, operating on both sides of the border. This has given them tremendous power to speculate on trade trends, so that movements in biofuel demand can be manipulated and magnified many times over. At the same time, monopoly control of domestic trade has ensured that a rise in international corn prices does not translate into significantly higher prices paid to small producers.

It has become increasingly difficult for Mexican corn farmers to avoid the fate of many of their fellow corn cultivators and other smallholders in sectors such as rice, beef, poultry and pork, who have gone under because of the advantages conferred by NAFTA on subsidized US producers. According to a 2003 Carnegie Endowment report, imports of US agricultural products threw at least 1.3 million farmers out of work--many of whom have since found their way to the United States.

Prospects are not good, since the Mexican government continues to be controlled by neoliberals who are systematically dismantling the peasant support system, a key legacy of the Mexican Revolution. As Food First executive director Eric Holt-Giménez sees it, "It will take time and effort to recover smallholder capacity, and there does not appear to be any political will for this--to say nothing of the fact that NAFTA would have to be renegotiated."

Creating a Rice Crisis in the Philippines

That the global food crisis stems mainly from free-market restructuring of agriculture is clearer in the case of rice. Unlike corn, less than 10 percent of world rice production is traded. Moreover, there has been no diversion of rice from food consumption to biofuels. Yet this year alone, prices nearly tripled, from $380 a ton in January to more than $1,000 in April. Undoubtedly the inflation stems partly from speculation by wholesaler cartels at a time of tightening supplies. However, as with Mexico and corn, the big puzzle is why a number of formerly self-sufficient rice-consuming countries have become severely dependent on imports.

The Philippines provides a grim example of how neoliberal economic restructuring transforms a country from a net food exporter to a net food importer. The Philippines is the world's largest importer of rice. Manila's desperate effort to secure supplies at any price has become front-page news, and pictures of soldiers providing security for rice distribution in poor communities have become emblematic of the global crisis.

The broad contours of the Philippines story are similar to those of Mexico. Dictator Ferdinand Marcos was guilty of many crimes and misdeeds, including failure to follow through on land reform, but one thing he cannot be accused of is starving the agricultural sector. To head off peasant discontent, the regime provided farmers with subsidized fertilizer and seeds, launched credit plans and built rural infrastructure. When Marcos fled the country in 1986, there were 900,000 metric tons of rice in government warehouses.

Paradoxically, the next few years under the new democratic dispensation saw the gutting of government investment capacity. As in Mexico the World Bank and IMF, working on behalf of international creditors, pressured the Corazon Aquino administration to make repayment of the $26 billion foreign debt a priority. Aquino acquiesced, though she was warned by the country's top economists that the "search for a recovery program that is consistent with a debt repayment schedule determined by our creditors is a futile one." Between 1986 and 1993 8 percent to 10 percent of GDP left the Philippines yearly in debt-service payments--roughly the same proportion as in Mexico. Interest payments as a percentage of expenditures rose from 7 percent in 1980 to 28 percent in 1994; capital expenditures plunged from 26 percent to 16 percent. In short, debt servicing became the national budgetary priority.

Spending on agriculture fell by more than half. The World Bank and its local acolytes were not worried, however, since one purpose of the belt-tightening was to get the private sector to energize the countryside. But agricultural capacity quickly eroded. Irrigation stagnated, and by the end of the 1990s only 17 percent of the Philippines' road network was paved, compared with 82 percent in Thailand and 75 percent in Malaysia. Crop yields were generally anemic, with the average rice yield way below those in China, Vietnam and Thailand, where governments actively promoted rural production. The post-Marcos agrarian reform program shriveled, deprived of funding for support services, which had been the key to successful reforms in Taiwan and South Korea. As in Mexico Filipino peasants were confronted with full-scale retreat of the state as provider of comprehensive support--a role they had come to depend on.

And the cutback in agricultural programs was followed by trade liberalization, with the Philippines' 1995 entry into the World Trade Organization having the same effect as Mexico's joining NAFTA. WTO membership required the Philippines to eliminate quotas on all agricultural imports except rice and allow a certain amount of each commodity to enter at low tariff rates. While the country was allowed to maintain a quota on rice imports, it nevertheless had to admit the equivalent of 1 to 4 percent of domestic consumption over the next ten years. In fact, because of gravely weakened production resulting from lack of state support, the government imported much more than that to make up for shortfalls. The massive imports depressed the price of rice, discouraging farmers and keeping growth in production at a rate far below that of the country's two top suppliers, Thailand and Vietnam.

The consequences of the Philippines' joining the WTO barreled through the rest of its agriculture like a super-typhoon. Swamped by cheap corn imports--much of it subsidized US grain--farmers reduced land devoted to corn from 3.1 million hectares in 1993 to 2.5 million in 2000. Massive importation of chicken parts nearly killed that industry, while surges in imports destabilized the poultry, hog and vegetable industries.

During the 1994 campaign to ratify WTO membership, government economists, coached by their World Bank handlers, promised that losses in corn and other traditional crops would be more than compensated for by the new export industry of "high-value-added" crops like cut flowers, asparagus and broccoli. Little of this materialized. Nor did many of the 500,000 agricultural jobs that were supposed to be created yearly by the magic of the market; instead, agricultural employment dropped from 11.2 million in 1994 to 10.8 million in 2001.

The one-two punch of IMF-imposed adjustment and WTO-imposed trade liberalization swiftly transformed a largely self-sufficient agricultural economy into an import-dependent one as it steadily marginalized farmers. It was a wrenching process, the pain of which was captured by a Filipino government negotiator during a WTO session in Geneva. "Our small producers," he said, "are being slaughtered by the gross unfairness of the international trading environment."

The Great Transformation

The experience of Mexico and the Philippines was paralleled in one country after another subjected to the ministrations of the IMF and the WTO. A study of fourteen countries by the UN's Food and Agricultural Organization found that the levels of food imports in 1995-98 exceeded those in 1990-94. This was not surprising, since one of the main goals of the WTO's Agreement on Agriculture was to open up markets in developing countries so they could absorb surplus production in the North. As then-US Agriculture Secretary John Block put it in 1986, "The idea that developing countries should feed themselves is an anachronism from a bygone era. They could better ensure their food security by relying on US agricultural products, which are available in most cases at lower cost."

What Block did not say was that the lower cost of US products stemmed from subsidies, which became more massive with each passing year despite the fact that the WTO was supposed to phase them out. From $367 billion in 1995, the total amount of agricultural subsidies provided by developed-country governments rose to $388 billion in 2004. Since the late 1990s subsidies have accounted for 40 percent of the value of agricultural production in the European Union and 25 percent in the United States.

The apostles of the free market and the defenders of dumping may seem to be at different ends of the spectrum, but the policies they advocate are bringing about the same result: a globalized capitalist industrial agriculture. Developing countries are being integrated into a system where export-oriented production of meat and grain is dominated by large industrial farms like those run by the Thai multinational CP and where technology is continually upgraded by advances in genetic engineering from firms like Monsanto. And the elimination of tariff and nontariff barriers is facilitating a global agricultural supermarket of elite and middle-class consumers serviced by grain-trading corporations like Cargill and Archer Daniels Midland and transnational food retailers like the British-owned Tesco and the French-owned Carrefour.

There is little room for the hundreds of millions of rural and urban poor in this integrated global market. They are confined to giant suburban favelas, where they contend with food prices that are often much higher than the supermarket prices, or to rural reservations, where they are trapped in marginal agricultural activities and increasingly vulnerable to hunger. Indeed, within the same country, famine in the marginalized sector sometimes coexists with prosperity in the globalized sector.

This is not simply the erosion of national food self-sufficiency or food security but what Africanist Deborah Bryceson of Oxford calls "de-peasantization"--the phasing out of a mode of production to make the countryside a more congenial site for intensive capital accumulation. This transformation is a traumatic one for hundreds of millions of people, since peasant production is not simply an economic activity. It is an ancient way of life, a culture, which is one reason displaced or marginalized peasants in India have taken to committing suicide. In the state of Andhra Pradesh, farmer suicides rose from 233 in 1998 to 2,600 in 2002; in Maharashtra, suicides more than tripled, from 1,083 in 1995 to 3,926 in 2005. One estimate is that some 150,000 Indian farmers have taken their lives. Collapse of prices from trade liberalization and loss of control over seeds to biotech firms is part of a comprehensive problem, says global justice activist Vandana Shiva: "Under globalization, the farmer is losing her/his social, cultural, economic identity as a producer. A farmer is now a 'consumer' of costly seeds and costly chemicals sold by powerful global corporations through powerful landlords and money lenders locally."

African Agriculture: From Compliance to Defiance

De-peasantization is at an advanced state in Latin America and Asia. And if the World Bank has its way, Africa will travel in the same direction. As Bryceson and her colleagues correctly point out in a recent article, the World Development Report for 2008, which touches extensively on agriculture in Africa, is practically a blueprint for the transformation of the continent's peasant-based agriculture into large-scale commercial farming. However, as in many other places today, the Bank's wards are moving from sullen resentment to outright defiance.

At the time of decolonization, in the 1960s, Africa was actually a net food exporter. Today the continent imports 25 percent of its food; almost every country is a net importer. Hunger and famine have become recurrent phenomena, with the past three years alone seeing food emergencies break out in the Horn of Africa, the Sahel, and Southern and Central Africa.

Agriculture in Africa is in deep crisis, and the causes range from wars to bad governance, lack of agricultural technology and the spread of HIV/AIDS. However, as in Mexico and the Philippines, an important part of the explanation is the phasing out of government controls and support mechanisms under the IMF and World Bank structural adjustment programs imposed as the price for assistance in servicing external debt.

Structural adjustment brought about declining investment, increased unemployment, reduced social spending, reduced consumption and low output. Lifting price controls on fertilizers while simultaneously cutting back on agricultural credit systems simply led to reduced fertilizer use, lower yields and lower investment. Moreover, reality refused to conform to the doctrinal expectation that withdrawal of the state would pave the way for the market to dynamize agriculture. Instead, the private sector, which correctly saw reduced state expenditures as creating more risk, failed to step into the breach. In country after country, the departure of the state "crowded out" rather than "crowded in" private investment. Where private traders did replace the state, noted an Oxfam report, "they have sometimes done so on highly unfavorable terms for poor farmers," leaving "farmers more food insecure, and governments reliant on unpredictable international aid flows." The usually pro-private sector Economist agreed, admitting that "many of the private firms brought in to replace state researchers turned out to be rent-seeking monopolists."

The support that African governments were allowed to muster was channeled by the World Bank toward export agriculture to generate foreign exchange, which states needed to service debt. But, as in Ethiopia during the 1980s famine, this led to the dedication of good land to export crops, with food crops forced into less suitable soil, thus exacerbating food insecurity. Moreover, the World Bank's encouragement of several economies to focus on the same export crops often led to overproduction, triggering price collapses in international markets. For instance, the very success of Ghana's expansion of cocoa production triggered a 48 percent drop in the international price between 1986 and 1989. In 2002-03 a collapse in coffee prices contributed to another food emergency in Ethiopia.

As in Mexico and the Philippines, structural adjustment in Africa was not simply about underinvestment but state divestment. But there was one major difference. In Africa the World Bank and IMF micromanaged, making decisions on how fast subsidies should be phased out, how many civil servants had to be fired and even, as in the case of Malawi, how much of the country's grain reserve should be sold and to whom.

Compounding the negative impact of adjustment were unfair EU and US trade practices. Liberalization allowed subsidized EU beef to drive many West African and South African cattle raisers to ruin. With their subsidies legitimized by the WTO, US growers offloaded cotton on world markets at 20 percent to 55 percent of production cost, thereby bankrupting West and Central African farmers.

According to Oxfam, the number of sub-Saharan Africans living on less than a dollar a day almost doubled, to 313 million, between 1981 and 2001--46 percent of the whole continent. The role of structural adjustment in creating poverty was hard to deny. As the World Bank's chief economist for Africa admitted, "We did not think that the human costs of these programs could be so great, and the economic gains would be so slow in coming."

In 1999 the government of Malawi initiated a program to give each smallholder family a starter pack of free fertilizers and seeds. The result was a national surplus of corn. What came after is a story that should be enshrined as a classic case study of one of the greatest blunders of neoliberal economics. The World Bank and other aid donors forced the scaling down and eventual scrapping of the program, arguing that the subsidy distorted trade. Without the free packs, output plummeted. In the meantime, the IMF insisted that the government sell off a large portion of its grain reserves to enable the food reserve agency to settle its commercial debts. The government complied. When the food crisis turned into a famine in 2001-02, there were hardly any reserves left. About 1,500 people perished. The IMF was unrepentant; in fact, it suspended its disbursements on an adjustment program on the grounds that "the parastatal sector will continue to pose risks to the successful implementation of the 2002/03 budget. Government interventions in the food and other agricultural markets... [are] crowding out more productive spending."

By the time an even worse food crisis developed in 2005, the government had had enough of World Bank/IMF stupidity. A new president reintroduced the fertilizer subsidy, enabling 2 million households to buy it at a third of the retail price and seeds at a discount. The result: bumper harvests for two years, a million-ton maize surplus and the country transformed into a supplier of corn to Southern Africa.

Malawi's defiance of the World Bank would probably have been an act of heroic but futile resistance a decade ago. The environment is different today, since structural adjustment has been discredited throughout Africa. Even some donor governments and NGOs that used to subscribe to it have distanced themselves from the Bank. Perhaps the motivation is to prevent their influence in the continent from being further eroded by association with a failed approach and unpopular institutions when Chinese aid is emerging as an alternative to World Bank, IMF and Western government aid programs.

Food Sovereignty: An Alternative Paradigm?

It is not only defiance from governments like Malawi and dissent from their erstwhile allies that are undermining the IMF and the World Bank. Peasant organizations around the world have become increasingly militant in their resistance to the globalization of industrial agriculture. Indeed, it is because of pressure from farmers' groups that the governments of the South have refused to grant wider access to their agricultural markets and demanded a massive slashing of US and EU agricultural subsidies, which brought the WTO's Doha Round of negotiations to a standstill.

Farmers' groups have networked internationally; one of the most dynamic to emerge is Via Campesina (Peasant's Path). Via not only seeks to get "WTO out of agriculture" and opposes the paradigm of a globalized capitalist industrial agriculture; it also proposes an alternative--food sovereignty. Food sovereignty means, first of all, the right of a country to determine its production and consumption of food and the exemption of agriculture from global trade regimes like that of the WTO. It also means consolidation of a smallholder-centered agriculture via protection of the domestic market from low-priced imports; remunerative prices for farmers and fisherfolk; abolition of all direct and indirect export subsidies; and the phasing out of domestic subsidies that promote unsustainable agriculture. Via's platform also calls for an end to the Trade Related Intellectual Property Rights regime, or TRIPs, which allows corporations to patent plant seeds; opposes agro-technology based on genetic engineering; and demands land reform. In contrast to an integrated global monoculture, Via offers the vision of an international agricultural economy composed of diverse national agricultural economies trading with one another but focused primarily on domestic production.

Once regarded as relics of the pre-industrial era, peasants are now leading the opposition to a capitalist industrial agriculture that would consign them to the dustbin of history. They have become what Karl Marx described as a politically conscious "class for itself," contradicting his predictions about their demise. With the global food crisis, they are moving to center stage--and they have allies and supporters. For as peasants refuse to go gently into that good night and fight de-peasantization, developments in the twenty-first century are revealing the panacea of globalized capitalist industrial agriculture to be a nightmare. With environmental crises multiplying, the social dysfunctions of urban-industrial life piling up and industrialized agriculture creating greater food insecurity, the farmers' movement increasingly has relevance not only to peasants but to everyone threatened by the catastrophic consequences of global capital's vision for organizing production, community and life itself.


But in America we don't have peasants. We're all entrepreneurs. We're all global capitalists in the local cupcake market. So we have no need to organize, or even think about globalization. We're Americans. It's great for all of us.

I guess it's been pretty great for the Clintons, anyway.

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MONEY FOR CULTURE (AND CHICKS FOR FREE?)


PBS's The News Hour with Jim Lehrer may be going down the tubes.

According to the New York Times, last summer Archer Daniels Midland ended its 14-year sponsorship of the program, which provided nearly $4 million of the program’s yearly budget, which varies from $26 million to $28 million. On May 1, salaries were frozen at the newscast, and company contributions to 401(k) retirement funds were suspended. Worse, it seems that corporations no longer sponsor public television programs for purely philanthropic reasons. “Now, it’s more a marketing-driven conversation, about audiences, and delivery and engagement,” said Rob Flynn, vice president of communications and marketing for “NewsHour.”

Corporate underwriting became necessary when the government severely cut its financing of PBS. (I've commented before on the odd phenomenon of insurance companies, agribusinesses, mining conglomerates and defense contractors becoming the primary source of funding for PBS.) And obviously donations from "listeners like you" are going to be down as the economy tanks.

The News Hour is not enthralling programming. But PBS was never intended to be market-driven; in fact it was created to be entirely the opposite. It may be that the market for intelligent TV programming has shrunk even beyond the minimal figure it used to be - the internet has drained away some of the brighter lights in the audience, and the frantic pursuit of money has deflected others.

But, now, wait a minute ...

There is still inconceivable cash floating around the financial establishment and among those corporations which have also contributed to fucking up everyone else's world - like by shipping jobs overseas, or firing permanent staff and hiring temps who don't get benefits and work part time, etc., etc., etc. The business climate has been cutthroat for many years now, but the throats that are being cut are of those who, for whatever reason, have not been able to climb up to the executive level which is the only level at which these corporations pay decent wages.

There is plenty of money out there to support government functions being cut, like education and the arts - and plenty of leeway to fix problems like that of my local blues club which has had to close because the acts it presents could no longer afford the gas or the airfare to get to the club. But too many of the big money men - undoubtedly philistines - don't give a shit about culture (except for expensive art works which impress their friends and enemies and, as long as the current economic system thrives, usually are pretty good investments, too.) And not giving a shit about education? That's purely disgusting.

There is no way we are going to get back the outsourced jobs. And if we try legislatively to fix the way employees are treated, there will be lawyers who will finagle around and out of the fix. But there is a way to protect the arts - if only so that budding geniuses still have a chance to be discovered and to contribute lasting value to society (other than the construction of another megamansion, which so far is the only societal contribution I see most rich people making.)

What's needed is a tax on the rich specifically for culture (which is what government funding for PBS and the National Endowment for the Arts used to be.) Any person or corporation which voluntarily contributes to the arts - and there are still a few of those around - would get a deduction for what they contributed.

Unfortunately, I can't see Americans enthusiastic about such a tax in a time when they can't afford to pay for food. But it would be a start to returning this country to the time when there was respect for things which enriched the culture and not the people who play with people's money.

Can I imagine a Congressman voting for such a thing? Not until we get a few who don't care if they're re-elected. And these days why should they care, actually? There are corporate jobs waiting for all of them.

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ALAN ALDA ON BEAUTY


"What is beauty, anyway? It's more than something pleasant looking. If it doesn't stop us in our tracks and make us unable to move for a moment, unable to put into words what's closing off the breath in our throats, then maybe it's pretty, but it probably isn't beauty."

He wasn't just talking about the way things look. He was talking about the way things are.

Are you beautiful? If not, you've got work to do. You can buy artificial tits, but you can't buy a soul off the rack.

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Sunday, May 18, 2008

NO DOUBT


People who say what I'm about to say have been condemned as offensive and exaggerational. Well, I may be offensive, but I do not exaggerate.

Last night I was reading The Lost by Daniel Mendelsohn, which is about the author's looking for relatives who died in the Holocaust, when I came upon a particularly gruesome and horrifying description of a Nazi aktion against the Jews in Poland. And, thinking of the smiling SS who pulled triggers on naked people, Karl Rove's face came to my mind.

These Republicans who so viciously attack their opposition, lie to and manipulate the American public, and seem to take joy from secrecy and victories over innocents by deception, could have been SS if they had lived 70 years ago and happened to do that in Germany. Rove, Rumsfeld, Republican congressmen - even Bush with that smirk of his that signals his pleasure in other people's misfortune - they're no different than the SS were, except they're constrained by the remnants of American democracy which are still stronger than they were in the Weimar Republic. The SS were a type - they are always with us, but now they are more obvious here in America. They speak so moderately when they're on the spot - but they'd pull the trigger. I have no doubt.

And they always were the perfect people to have a beer with.

But they do say they stand with Israel.

Eichmann used to say he liked the Jews.

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SENSE


Now this, finally, makes sense.

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SOCIALIST REALISM?



This poster looks awfully Soviet - and it's supposed to. Apparently it's such a big hit that Obama is selling it on his website.

Let's see if the Republicans pick up on this.

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NRA BANS GUNS


From the New York Daily News (that I am quoting the Daily News is odd enough, but truth to tell I saw this on the Huffington Post):

The NRA refused to allow attendees to bring guns into its annual convention. Yeah, I know it's because McCain was speaking. But even so - was the irony completely lost on everyone?

It turns out that all those who were aware of the ban ahead of time - in fact, just about every attendee - showed up with a pocket knife, and had to turn that in. I am confidentially told that they replaced them with rocks, which did not trip the metal detectors.

They say it's about freedom. But I think it's about fear.

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Saturday, May 17, 2008

IS OBAMA THE ANTICHRIST?


Man, does he fit the schema - for explanation of which, see my book "The Tenth Cow." Can't give you everything for free, now, can I? But I will tell you this: if he's elected and brings peace between Israel and the Arabs, he definitely is the Antichrist by dispensationalist definition.

And - since the Antichrist is an essential element of the End of Days, we need Obama if Jesus is going to come back.

So - if I were an evangelical and I believed in The Rapture, I'd vote for Obama. Wonder if they'll think of that?

UPDATE: Apparently Tweet did not think of this first. See this and this and this, this and this. Google "Obama antichrist" for a whole lot more. And I thought Tweet was making a joke!

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SELF-FULFILLING PROPHECY


Israel says there is an increase in al Qaeda activity among the Palestinians. What the hell did they expect?

American troops are out of Saudi Arabia. The Saudi royals have contained the al Qaeda threat to them. The Shi'ites have Iraq pretty well in hand, and there is no climate there for al Qaeda activity. Nobody cares about Lebanon except the Lebanese (and the Israelis, of course), and for damn sure Hezbollah (Shi'a) would wallop the tar out of al Qaeda (Sunni) if they tried to engage there. That pops Israel - and Jews - to the top of the al Qaeda agenda.

Sad, when you think of it - that Israel pushed the US to do away with Saddam, and the result now is that Israel is the primary al Qaeda target. I've said for years that the Islamicization of the Palestinian movement, which has til now been primarily concerned with money and property rights, would make a resolution much more difficult. Now we have Hamas, and al Qaeda is moving in.

I actually do not think that al Qaeda will have much of a presence among the Palestinians. They have Hamas, and Hezbollah - they don't need al Qaeda, which is horning in among them as much because it's lost influence (and has nothing else to do) as to do the Palestinians any good. I suspect al Qaeda will do more good for the Israelis than the Arabs - they will use the al Qaeda presence, as small as it may be, to tie themselves even closer to American "anti-terrorism", which no doubt they are beginning to feel might be necessary in the face of a possible Obama presidency. I think we will hear much more about al Qaeda from Israel. They'll use it the way Cheney used "al Qaeda in Iraq."

I might add that, if it turns out that al Qaeda has any striking power left, American Jews are as logical a target as Israel. A self-fulfilling prophecy, by the way.

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Thursday, May 15, 2008

ONE MORE SHOE


From the Huffington Post:

Although John Edwards has suggested that his endorsement was purely a decision made on the merits of the candidate, the New York Times reports that privately he has an interest in being a part of an Obama administration:

Mr. Edwards has carefully played down his aspirations for an administration role. In an interview in January, he said he would not accept a vice-presidential spot or Cabinet position. "No, absolutely not," he said, shaking his head emphatically when asked.


But privately, he told aides that he would consider the role of vice president, and favored the position of attorney general, which would appeal to his experience of decades spent in courtrooms as a trial lawyer in North Carolina; and his desire to follow in the footsteps of Robert F. Kennedy, one of his heroes.



All the shoes have dropped but one. And it's in Hillary's hand.

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NO TIME FOR INFANTS


From Politico:

An Ohio-based group of Democratic Hillary Clinton supporters say they’ll work actively against Sen. Barack Obama if he becomes the nominee, arguing that Clinton has been the subject of “intense sexism” by party leaders and the media.

Led by Boomer-aged women, the group, Clinton Supporters Count Too, is holding a press conference in Columbus at noon to release this statement.

Organizers Cynthia Ruccia, 55, and Jamie Dixey, 57, both from the Columbus area, say they’re coordinating women, men, minorities, union members and others in Ohio, Pennsylvania, Florida and Michigan – all important swing states next November – to impress upon Democratic party leaders what they think has been outright discrimination – and not of the racial kind.

“We have been vigilant against expressions of racism, and we are thrilled that the society has advanced that way” in accepting Obama as a serious candidate,” Ruccia said. “But it’s been open season on women, and we feel we need to stand up and make a statement about that, because it’s wrong.”

With growing calls for Clinton to leave the race, she said, women feel like “we’re being told to sit down, shut up, and get with the program.”


This is no time for infants to be playing politics. Hillary Clinton could stop this childishness with a few well-chosen words - but I'm afraid she'd prefer to encourage it - which to me is perhaps the best reason why she should never be president. If this is responsible leadership, I'll eat your hat.

You know, it strikes me that these women are just like right-wing jews. For the latter, criticism of Israel is anti-semitism. For the former, criticism of Hillary is anti-feminism.

And I’m getting pretty sick of this particular sickness.

And here are more children playing politics:

The endorsement of Barack Obama by the nation's foremost abortion-rights advocacy group is causing major fissures and backlash within the women's rights community.

Hours after Obama received the support of NARAL's Political Action Committee, the organization's Washington branch felt compelled to announce its continued neutrality and disappointment with the endorsement.

"We strongly disagree with NARAL Pro-Choice America's decision to endorse at this time," a press release from the group read. "To endorse Obama at this point in the race is an unconscionable slap in the face to Senator Hillary Clinton."

They weren't alone. In a hastily announced meeting late Wednesday night, several of Clinton's most high-profile female supporters lashed out against NARAL's PAC calling it "a betrayal," and "extremely unnecessary,"

"We feel abandoned by this organization today," said Rep. Debbie Wasserman Schultz.

Elizabeth Malcolm, the head of Emily's List, called the move "disrespectful" to Sen. Clinton, "who held up the nomination of a FDA commissioner in order to force approval of Plan B and who spoke so eloquently during the Supreme Court nomination about the importance of protecting Roe vs. Wade - to not give her the courtesy to finish the final three weeks of the primary process. It certainly must be disconcerting for elected leaders who stand up for reproductive rights and expect the choice community will stand with them."

In an interview with The Huffington Post, Martha Burke, the former chair of the National Council of Women's Organizations, said she was "disappointed and think they are wrong. It feels like they are abandoning a known ally for a less committed candidate because they want to jump on a bandwagon. I think the pro-choice community should stick by a woman who has stuck by them."

And in a phone conversation, Marcia Pappas, the head of National Organization of Women, New York -- who famously accused Ted Kennedy for betraying women by endorsing Obama -- would not even commit to supporting the Illinois Democrat in the general election.

"It is disappointing that an organization that stands up for the rights of women would rush to this type of judgment, especially when we only have three weeks left. And I would wonder what criteria they used to make that judgment, based on the fact that [Obama] chose seven times to vote present," she said. "We certainly know that John McCain is not good on women's rights and we hope that Barack Obama is better on it, but it remains to be seen when we have a candidate who did not stand firm when he could have done so. "

Combined, the blowback from NARAL's endorsement is enough to suggest that Obama, should he become the nominee, may face future political hurdles when reaching out to the women's rights movement. But his record, compared to both Clinton and McCain, is strong on the group's issues. He has received three straight perfect ratings in NARAL's congressional record, has consistently supported a pro-choice platform, and his seven "present" votes (which Pappas cites) in the Illinois Senate were driven, he says, by legislative strategy rather than policy disagreements. As NARAL's president, Nancy Keenan, wrote on the Huffington Post:

"Sen. Obama has been a strong advocate for a woman's right to choose throughout his career in public service. Since joining the Senate in 2005, he has worked to unite Americans on both sides of this debate behind commonsense, common-ground ways to prevent unintended pregnancy. He supports legislation to provide our teens with comprehensive sex education, prevent pharmacies from denying women access to their legal birth-control prescriptions, and increase access for family-planning services."


And here is the biggest infant of all.

And I used to give money to Emily's List! Wow!

Something is not working right in these women’s heads. I've condemned moderate Muslims and Christians for not speaking out against extremism in their respective religions. Well, I hate to say it, but if a lot of smart women don't speak up to stop this incredibly stupid and self-defeating behavior, and if this is really the way women think, I'm seeing the best argument I’ve seen for not electing a woman.

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HERE COMES THE BIG ONE - I HOPE


From Politico:

Just off the House floor today, the Crypt overheard House Judiciary Committee Chairman John Conyers tell two other people: “We’re closing in on Rove. Someone’s got to kick his ass.”

Asked a few minutes later for a more official explanation, Conyers told us that Rove has a week to appear before his committee. If he doesn’t, said Conyers, “We’ll do what any self-respecting committee would do. We’d hold him in contempt. Either that or go and have him arrested.”

Conyers said the committee wants Rove to testify about his role in the imprisonment of former Alabama Gov. Don Siegelman, among other things.

“We want him for so many things, it’s hard to keep track,” Conyers said.


What they’re closing in on is a full-bore constitutional crisis. And it’s about time.

Rove will not appear voluntarily, or under subpoena, or to answer a contempt citation. He will have to be arrested, and the uproar from the White House and the Republicans will be something to see.

But the timing couldn’t be better. McCain is either going to have defend the prerogatives of Congress or show himself up for what he is – and Obama is going to look very good to everyone who is even a bit fair-minded about how democracy needs to work.

I hope Conyers doesn’t back down.

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GREASE YOUR GUNS


Now that Obama apparently has a good fix on the nomination, let's get down to brass tacks:

For the past eight years the Republicans have intently pursued policies of emasculating the government by privatizing its functions, distributing money up to the wealthiest, destroying the power of Congress through vicious tactics when in power and signing statements and vetoes when not, and of the courts by appointing judges who call activists anyone who applies independent thinking to a case. This is all by way of permanently altering the nature not just of American democracy, but of America itself.

They are not going to give all this up easily, particularly when they are closer to their goals now than they have ever been. They are single-minded and absolutely determined. The chance of losing the power to replace Ginsberg and Kennedy on the court is alone enough of justification (in their minds) to use any weapon to keep it from happening.

Up to now, they have cloaked what they have done in a drape of Constitutionality, leaving the obvious dirty-work to outsiders like the SwiftBoaters. But if they lose control of both Congress and the Executive, the cloak of Constitutionality becomes impossible. And that's where the scary part comes in.

This will, of course, be the nastiest, dirtiest political campaign in American history. But I think, the stakes being what they are, they are prepared to go farther. I think assassination and the use of the military inside the United States are not beyond the bounds of what they will consider. In fact, I think the bounds extend much further on into the realm of the dark, as Cheney called it.

And here's the first hint of it.

Liberals and progressives seem to naively assume that if Obama wins, everything changes. Well, a lot changes, but included in those changes is the end of any Republican self-imposed restrictions. If Obama wins, the battle has just begun - and he is going to have to surround himself with the toughest hired guns he can find, just to begin to reverse the damage already done.

Whoever wins this election, we are in for some period of years in which the foundations of this nation will be shaken as never before. So cheer for Obama as much as you like - and then step into your closet and grease your guns.

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HOW CAN ONE MAN BE SUCH A COMPLETE JERK OVER SUCH A LONG PERIOD OF TIME AND STILL MAKE A GOOD LIVING AS A RESPECTED PUNDIT?


I can't even find the energy to type this story. Read it here.

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EDWARDS ENDORSEMENT


I have been pretty much begging Edwards to do this for quite some time. However, the timing of this endorsement was such perfection - it has the look and feel of a clincher to me - and I have developed so much respect for Obama's team that I wonder whether they have not had this endorsement in their pocket for a while and chosen this moment to bring it on.

Two things have to happen now: Hillary has to get out and Obama has to pick Edwards for the VP spot. As to the first, I think she will do it soon. If not, I hope Obama will ask her to, very nicely and very publicly. If then she refuses, she is to be ignored. But I don't think she's stupid, and that would likely mean the end of her useful career.

As for Edwards, he'll accept the post. He's young and he can run in 2016. As for the timing of the VP announcement, I leave that to Obama and his geniuses.

But I do want to point out one thing. This is the culmination of what Howard Dean started in 2004 - strong use of the internet, the fifty state strategy, etc. Without him it's possible this never might have come to pass. Hillary is identified with the McAuliffe klatch who thought Dean was destroying the Democratic party. This is not only poetic justice, but the triumph of intelligence over pandering.

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Wednesday, May 14, 2008

MY VIEWS ON ISRAEL, ONCE AND FOR ALL


I am entirely irreligious, so I have no affinity for the Biblical lands of the Jews. If I did, I would live there. And I am fascinated by those American Jews who assert that Israel is their land, but won't live there either. There are two reasons why most American Jews don't move to Israel:

1) they're doing better here than they ever could in Israel, so they would take a hit to go there - but they assure us that if Israel ever really needs them, or if things get so bad in the US that they need Israel, they'll get on the first plane. Maybe. Maybe not.

2) they stay here so they can make a lot of money, some of which they give to Israel, and also so they can influence American politics. That reason is absolutely true, and it's a good thing for Israel that they're doing that, because this way Israel gets not only Jewish money but American taxpayer's money, more than Jews alone could give.

I do understand others' affinity for the Biblical lands. If it's a cultural affinity, that's one thing; if it's a religious affinity, that leads to all sorts of intransigeant problems like the settlers in the West Bank, for example. I have never understood that population pressure is forcing Jews to settle in the West Bank, sort of grabbing lebensraum. I understand that Jews settle in the West Bank because they believe it is necessary for Jews to have that territory in order for the Messiah to come. And maybe there might be a few who go there for the commute.

But that there needs to be a Jewish homeland I cannot dispute. It's interesting to me that Jews have not quite agreed on whether they need a state because they are a nation or because they are a religion. It doesn't matter, anyway. There are no guarantees against another Holocaust. And if the people who are willing to live in a Jewish homeland feel an affinity for the Biblical lands, they should go for it - as long as they are prepared to take the consequences of living amongst a hostile pre-existing population.

I know Jews argue that they are the pre-existing population. History does move on, though, and I doubt those Jews who live in New York are prepared to give Manhattan back to the Indians. (They'll no doubt say the Indians gave up Manhattan in a fair bargain, while the Jews were screwed out of Israel - which is true, but irrelevant, to my mind.) As for those who claim God has given the Jews that land, if I believed in God I would probably agree with them, keeping in mind that (just as Jews believe that God gave them the military victories by which they subjugated that land) the Arabs tend to believe it was God who gave them the early military victories in which they took Israel/Palestine and a whole lot of other places. I tend to stay out of these arguments, as well as arguments over whether God determines the Super Bowl winner.

The early Jewish settlers in Palestine (by early I mean late 19th and early 20th centuries) accepted the prospect and the risks of living among others, and mostly managed to develop decent relationships with the Arabs. The Holocaust changed the ball game. There had to be somewhere for Jews to go, after being betrayed in the lands they had lived in. The British, foreseeing what has since come to pass, tried to keep them out. But that was impossible. And, since there was nowhere else for the Jews to go, warfare between Arabs and Jews became inevitable, since the Arabs believed they were losing their land for the sins of others.

Initially, Jewish settlers in Israel after WWII were resigned to the fact that they were going to have to fight for the land and their lives. Some of them no doubt believed they had an absolute right to the land, and some of them believed that whether they had a right or not, they were going to take it because they had no choice. For the former there was no moral dilemma in displacing other people, and for the latter the moral dilemma was overcome by sheer necessity. I think the problems Israel lives with now began when Israel forgot that early moral dilemma entirely.

After the Six Day War, Israel began to feel secure - and to be secure. At that point, for real security, Israel should have resolved that moral dilemma. And I think in some ways they tried to, and were met with Arab intransigeance. Continued awareness of the moral dilemma would have suggested continuing efforts to resolve it. But changes in the population of Israel put an end to that.

When founded, Israel was a Socialist state. Most of the founders were European Jews whose politics had been leftist in Europe. It would have been very difficult for them, after having been attacked twice (at least, not forgetting the myriad small Arab attacks in the meantime) to have any sympathy for the Arabs; but I would bet they had not forgotten the moral dilemma, and if the Arabs had changed their behavior they might have tried to resolve it.

But as the Arabs reacted to the Six Day War by making life utterly miserable for Jews who lived in their countries, those Jews - Sephardic, mostly - emigrated to Israel, bringing with them both a justified hatred of Arabs for the way they had been treated and an unreasoning attitude similar to that of the Arabs in the countries they had just left. For them there has never been a moral dilemma, any more than there has been for the vast majority of Arabs. (I am not discussing the Russian Jews, which is a much more complex situation.)

When they gained power in Israel, the moral dilemma disappeared, and you had Jews and Arabs facing each other with the same hate and the same unsophisticated sense of identity - primarily a tribal thing, I think. So now there is little difference between the political attitudes of those who rule Israel and the political attitudes of Arab rulers. Both think they're superior as human beings, and both will cut the other no slack.

This in no way ignores the fact that Israel has been far more internally progressive and productive than any Arab country. Arabs have a real problem with creating value - at least since the days of Egypt and Babylon. Arab wealth comes from exploitation of raw materials they are lucky enough to live over, and not from exploitation of their minds except in the merchant cunning which has always been their way. They don't seem to be equipped to compete in the modern world, and they bemoan the fact that they used to be a center of power while completely disdaining any attempt to reproduce the conditions which created that power - i.e., intellectual activity.

But this Israel progressivism is not applied to the "Arab question." It used to be. And it needs to be again.

Which brings me to an interview of Barack Obama which I think illustrates what I'm talking about. The interview was conducted by Jeffrey Goldberg, who posted it on his blog at Atlantic.com. The sense that Obama makes and the rationality he exhibits are remarkable in this day and age.

JEFFREY GOLDBERG: I’m curious to hear you talk about the Zionist idea. Do you believe that it has justice on its side?

BARACK OBAMA: You know, when I think about the Zionist idea, I think about how my feelings about Israel were shaped as a young man -- as a child, in fact. I had a camp counselor when I was in sixth grade who was Jewish-American but who had spent time in Israel, and during the course of this two-week camp he shared with me the idea of returning to a homeland and what that meant for people who had suffered from the Holocaust, and he talked about the idea of preserving a culture when a people had been uprooted with the view of eventually returning home. There was something so powerful and compelling for me, maybe because I was a kid who never entirely felt like he was rooted. That was part of my upbringing, to be traveling and always having a sense of values and culture but wanting a place. So that is my first memory of thinking about Israel.

And then that mixed with a great affinity for the idea of social justice that was embodied in the early Zionist movement (that includes the sense of moral dilemma I was talking about) and the kibbutz, and the notion that not only do you find a place but you also have this opportunity to start over and to repair the breaches of the past. I found this very appealing.

JG: You’ve talked about the role of Jews in the development of your thinking

BO: I always joke that my intellectual formation was through Jewish scholars and writers, even though I didn’t know it at the time. Whether it was theologians or Philip Roth who helped shape my sensibility, or some of the more popular writers like Leon Uris. So when I became more politically conscious, my starting point when I think about the Middle East is this enormous emotional attachment and sympathy for Israel, mindful of its history, mindful of the hardship and pain and suffering that the Jewish people have undergone, but also mindful of the incredible opportunity that is presented when people finally return to a land and are able to try to excavate their best traditions and their best selves. And obviously it’s something that has great resonance with the African-American experience.

One of the things that is frustrating about the recent conversations on Israel is the loss of what I think is the natural affinity between the African-American community and the Jewish community, one that was deeply understood by Jewish and black leaders in the early civil-rights movement but has been estranged for a whole host of reasons that you and I don’t need to elaborate.

JG: Do you think that justice is still on Israel’s side?

BO: I think that the idea of a secure Jewish state is a fundamentally just idea, and a necessary idea, given not only world history but the active existence of anti-Semitism, the potential vulnerability that the Jewish people could still experience. I know that that there are those who would argue that in some ways America has become a safe refuge for the Jewish people, but if you’ve gone through the Holocaust, then that does not offer the same sense of confidence and security as the idea that the Jewish people can take care of themselves no matter what happens. That makes it a fundamentally just idea.

That does not mean that I would agree with every action of the state of Israel, because it’s a government and it has politicians, and as a politician myself I am deeply mindful that we are imperfect creatures and don’t always act with justice uppermost on our minds. But the fundamental premise of Israel and the need to preserve a Jewish state that is secure is, I think, a just idea and one that should be supported here in the United States and around the world.

JG: Go to the kishke question, the gut question: the idea that if Jews know that you love them, then you can say whatever you want about Israel, but if we don’t know you –- Jim Baker, Zbigniew Brzezinski –- then everything is suspect. There seems to be in some quarters, in Florida and other places, a sense that you don’t feel Jewish worry the way a senator from New York would feel it.

BO: I find that really interesting. I think the idea of Israel and the reality of Israel is one that I find important to me personally. Because it speaks to my history of being uprooted, it speaks to the African-American story of exodus, it describes the history of overcoming great odds and a courage and a commitment to carving out a democracy and prosperity in the midst of hardscrabble land. One of the things I loved about Israel when I went there is that the land itself is a metaphor for rebirth, for what’s been accomplished. What I also love about Israel is the fact that people argue about these issues, and that they’re asking themselves moral questions. (Something which is not yet happening in the American Jewish community.)

Sometimes I’m attacked in the press for maybe being too deliberative. My staff teases me sometimes about anguishing over moral questions. I think I learned that partly from Jewish thought, that your actions have consequences and that they matter and that we have moral imperatives. (This is the kind of Jewish thought which has disappeared from the discourse of the people who claim to lead the American Jewish community now.) The point is, if you look at my writings and my history, my commitment to Israel and the Jewish people is more than skin-deep and it’s more than political expediency. (What he's saying is he feels an affinity for Jews as they used to be, and for those Jews who still are what all Jews used to be.) When it comes to the gut issue, I have such ardent defenders among my Jewish friends in Chicago. I don’t think people have noticed how fiercely they defend me, and how central they are to my success, because they’ve interacted with me long enough to know that I've got it in my gut. During the Wright episode, they didn’t flinch for a minute, because they know me and trust me, and they’ve seen me operate in difficult political situations.

The other irony in this whole process is that in my early political life in Chicago, one of the raps against me in the black community is that I was too close to the Jews. When I ran against Bobby Rush [for Congress], the perception was that I was Hyde Park, I’m University of Chicago, I’ve got all these Jewish friends. When I started organizing, the two fellow organizers in Chicago were Jews, and I was attacked for associating with them. So I’ve been in the foxhole with my Jewish friends, so when I find on the national level my commitment being questioned, it’s curious.

JG: Why do you think Ahmed Yousef of Hamas said what he said about you?

BO: My position on Hamas is indistinguishable from the position of Hillary Clinton or John McCain. I said they are a terrorist organization and I’ve repeatedly condemned them. I’ve repeatedly said, and I mean what I say: since they are a terrorist organization, we should not be dealing with them until they recognize Israel, renounce terrorism, and abide by previous agreements. (This is a concession for Jewish votes.)

JG: Were you flummoxed by it?

BO: I wasn’t flummoxed. I think what is going on there is the same reason why there are some suspicions of me in the Jewish community. Look, we don’t do nuance well in politics and especially don’t do it well on Middle East policy. (No shit!) We look at things as black and white, and not gray. It’s conceivable that there are those in the Arab world who say to themselves, “This is a guy who spent some time in the Muslim world, has a middle name of Hussein, and appears more worldly and has called for talks with people, and so he’s not going to be engaging in the same sort of cowboy diplomacy as George Bush,” and that’s something they’re hopeful about. I think that’s a perfectly legitimate perception as long as they’re not confused about my unyielding support for Israel’s security.

When I visited Ramallah, among a group of Palestinian students, one of the things that I said to those students was: “Look, I am sympathetic to you and the need for you guys to have a country that can function, but understand this: if you’re waiting for America to distance itself from Israel, you are delusional. Because my commitment, our commitment, to Israel’s security is non-negotiable.” I’ve said this in front of audiences where, if there were any doubts about my position, that’d be a place where you’d hear it.

When Israel invaded Lebanon two summers ago, I was in South Africa, a place where, obviously, when you get outside the United States, you can hear much more critical commentary about Israel’s actions, and I was asked about this in a press conference, and that time, and for the entire summer, I was very adamant about Israel’s right to defend itself. I said that there’s not a nation-state on Earth that would tolerate having two of its soldiers kidnapped and just let it go. So I welcome the Muslim world’s accurate perception that I am interested in opening up dialogue and interested in moving away from the unilateral policies of George Bush (and AIPAC), but nobody should mistake that for a softer stance when it comes to terrorism or when it comes to protecting Israel’s security or making sure that the alliance is strong and firm. You will not see, under my presidency, any slackening in commitment to Israel’s security.

JG: What do you make of Jimmy Carter’s suggestion that Israel resembles an apartheid state?

BO: I strongly reject the characterization. (More political expediency.) Israel is a vibrant democracy, the only one in the Middle East, and there’s no doubt that Israel and the Palestinians have tough issues to work out to get to the goal of two states living side by side in peace and security, but injecting a term like apartheid into the discussion doesn’t advance that goal. It’s emotionally loaded (that's his real bitch with Carter), historically inaccurate, and it’s not what I believe.

JG: If you become President, will you denounce settlements publicly?

BO: What I will say is what I’ve said previously. Settlements at this juncture are not helpful. Look, my interest is in solving this problem not only for Israel but for the United States.

JG: Do you think that Israel is a drag on America’s reputation overseas?

BO: No, no, no. But what I think is that this constant wound, that this constant sore, does infect all of our foreign policy. The lack of a resolution to this problem provides an excuse for anti-American militant jihadists to engage in inexcusable actions, and so we have a national-security interest in solving this, and I also believe that Israel has a security interest in solving this because I believe that the status quo is unsustainable. I am absolutely convinced of that, and some of the tensions that might arise between me and some of the more hawkish elements in the Jewish community in the United States might stem from the fact that I’m not going to blindly adhere to whatever the most hawkish position is just because that’s the safest ground politically.

I want to solve the problem, and so my job in being a friend to Israel is partly to hold up a mirror and tell the truth and say if Israel is building settlements without any regard to the effects that this has on the peace process, then we’re going to be stuck in the same status quo that we’ve been stuck in for decades now, and that won’t lift that existential dread that David Grossman described in your article.

The notion that a vibrant, successful society with incredible economic growth and incredible cultural vitality is still plagued by this notion that this could all end at any moment -- you know, I don’t know what that feels like, but I can use my imagination to understand it. I would not want to raise my children in those circumstances. I want to make sure that the people of Israel, when they kiss their kids and put them on that bus, feel at least no more existential dread than any parent does whenever their kids leave their sight. So that then becomes the question: is settlement policy conducive to relieving that over the long term, or is it just making the situation worse? That’s the question that has to be asked.

So true. But will it ever be?

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THINGS HAVE CHANGED


Here's the only thing Einstein said which I can understand:

"The word God is for me nothing more than the expression and product of human weaknesses, the Bible a collection of honourable, but still primitive legends which are nevertheless pretty childish. No interpretation no matter how subtle can change this. For me the Jewish religion like all others is an incarnation of the most childish superstitions. And the Jewish people to whom I gladly belong and with whose mentality I have a deep affinity have no different quality for me than all other people. As far as my experience goes, they are no better than other human groups, although they are protected from the worst cancers by a lack of power. Otherwise I cannot see anything 'chosen' about them."

As to his penultimate comment: things have changed, Al.

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NO IDEA


In discussing whether or not Obama needs or will get the Jewish vote, Ira Forman of the National Jewish Democratic Council said: "I've always said that one of the things the Republicans were trying to do under Rove and [Tom] DeLay, and I never underestimated them, was to use Israel to turn the Jewish community against the Democratic Party. That mean stopping money to Jewish Democrats but more importantly it means affecting opinion makers. This year there are some real numbers here. I think the McCain's folks are looking at these numbers and they are figuring out a micro-strategy - they are doing this with African Americans and other groups as well with the Jews. If they can drive the Jewish vote down 20 percent in these states it could make a difference. I don't know how good the McCain people are but the Rove and his minions e were doing this on every constituency out there."

So you betray your cultural history and vote for McCain because you don't trust Obama on Israel? That would be fine if you planned on living in Israel - but you don't; you intend to stay right here. Any Jew who would be comfortable living under McCain - and I don't doubt there are a whole lot of them - has no idea what being Jewish means.

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JOHN EDWARDS


Clinton beat Obama by 67 to 26 percent in West Virginia. Here's my feeling about that:

We may want a candidate picked by yokels, since there are so many yokels out there. But we do not want a president picked by yokels. We just had one of those. This presents a serious dilemma.

The answer to that dilemma may lie in the fact that John Edwards, who wasn't running, got 7% of the vote. That makes him my nominee for VP on the Obama ticket, coupled with an assurance by Obama that Edwards will get to make policy.

So here we are, back to square one.

I get the distinct feeling that Edwards is with Obama and is resisting because his wife is with Hillary. Sooner or later Edwards needs to shit or get off the pot. I hope Obama is having a serious talk with him around now.

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Tuesday, May 13, 2008

DUMB AS STUMPS


Let's get this straight.

There is no war on terror.

A war on terror is impossible by definition.

I consider 9/11 the first act of war committed by a non-state entity. It was of course not the first act of its kind committed by a non-state group. In fact, there have been thousands in recent history. Every pre-9/11 attack by terrorists was considered a criminal matter, not an act of war. What made 9/11 an act of war was its scope. If al-Qaeda had crashed a plane into the Stage Delicatessen, I doubt it would be considered an act of war (although technically it would be, since the perpetrators crossed a national border to do it.) But, in the general perception, a lot of people have to die in an act of war.

People who commit acts of war are not terrorists. They are soldiers, or other actors of the equivalent of a government, using violence to assert power over others - in the same way the Japanese did when they hit Pearl Harbor, or we did when we invaded Iraq. (Or else all armed forces are terrorists - an argument with which I have some sympathy.)

The confusion over 9/11 was made possible by the non-state identity of the attacker. But we have to recognize that, in this day and age, it is not only a nation which can commit an act of war. It is any entity which has the power to do significant damage and the intention of altering its enemy's conduct by so doing.

The argument is often made that the definition of a terrorist is one who attacks non-combatants. But I'm quite sure that we would not agree that, since we used atomic weapons on Hiroshima, we were terrorists. I've never heard anyone say the Nazis were terrorists in blitzing London. They were said to use acts of terror, but not to be terrorists. They were an army which was at war. al-Qaeda would have had to have acted on a much smaller scale than they did, or been a much smaller entity, to be considered terrorists and not an entity at war.

I suppose the little bits of mopping up we are doing against al-Qaeda in Afghanistan might be considered as remnants of that war. But it doesn't seem that al-Qaeda is at war with us.

It may be that al-Qaeda's strength has been attenuated - or it may be that they have chosen not to perpetrate any more large attacks. At present, all they are doing is issuing threats - just as Ahmedinijad is doing. The question is: how long can you consider yourself at war when your enemy is not fighting you? And the answer is: as long as you want to be, if you consider your war aim as being the killing of every al-Qaeda member (and co-actor, and however you want to expand it)- which is, essentially, impossible. It would be like Roosevelt declaring our war aim in the war with Japan to be the killing of every Japanese. I will return to this point in a minute.

The war on Iraq was not a war on terror. Aside from the fact that it was a classic act of war on a nation, there were no terrorists in Iraq to be at war with. I'm aware that some use the presence of some al-Qaeda personnel in Iraq at the time of the invasion to justify using the term "war on terror." Leaving aside the question of whether those al-Qaeda personnel can be considered terrorists as opposed to citizens of a non-state entity which has the capacity to make war, if the people who make the claim that a nation in which terrorists can be found can be attacked for harboring terrorists (without evidence of the cooperation of the nation with these al-Qaedans), then when they assert that there are al-Qaeda hiding in the U.S., by their argument we are our own enemy. Ultimately the argument becomes absurd.

We are not at war on terror in Afghanistan. We are fighting an action to keep Islamists from retaking the country, particularly the Taliban. The Taliban's goal - at the moment - is not to attack America but to get their national power back. They may use terror tactics to do it, but they are not terrorists - any more than, for example, the Confederacy was, or the Union was, during our Civil War. Similarly, the various sides in the Iraq conflict are not terrorists.

The real definition of terrorists in the modern age is this: if they're small and relatively weak, they are terrorists. If they're large and powerful, they are an army - even if they're attached to no state. The militias in Iraq are armies, not terrorists. They're just a little smaller than ours.

Which brings me back to the point I said I would return to.

The phrase "war on terror" implies a fight against anyone anywhere who uses force in a way that we don't like. Since that category is infinitely expandable, it is very useful to the Bush administration (which, of course, gets to choose who it will fight and who it will, therefore, define as "terrorists.")

The term was not casually invented. If it means that we are at war as described above, then - because of the interchangeability of the enemy, or because people who are identified with the enemy become our enemy even though they have never fought us - there can be no end to such a war until the people who have declared it (Bush) decide to undeclare it. And that, my friends (as McCain says), will never happen.

The reason the Bushies invented the "war on terror" was precisely to put the nation into a state of permanent war, so that Bush could use his alleged powers as commander-in-chief to justify ignoring Congress and doing whatever he wanted to, particularly the withering away of all parts of the state aside from the Executive. In other words, to create a dictatorship.

And every time the media or Democrats use the term "war on terror," they are playing Bush's game.

Language is important. Here's a good example:

In the 80's the Republicans came up with the term "tort reform." It sounds like a good thing, a way to improve a system. What it actually meant was the decimation of the rights to redress of people injured by negligent or calculated actions of corporations and doctors.

Yet the media - and even plaintiffs' lawyers - used the term regularly. And every time they used it, they legitimized it. How can you argue that "reform" is no good? Use the word, and you surrender the game.

Very smart, those Republicans. The media? Depends on their real intentions, which are impossible to calculate. The Democrats? Dumb as stumps, as McCain said of Bush.


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SHRINKS


A new study reveals that 34% of American married mothers are having or have had affairs. One wonders how many of them want to but haven't yet?

Yep. Monogamy may be great for financial matters and child-rearing, and even when marriage turns from hot stuff to affection and respect, but as a permanent lifestyle it appears to be less than adequate. These women have decided that there is more to love (loosely defined) than they've got, and they are going to have it - maybe a lot of it - before they get too old to attract a man (however old that is - or maybe they never are.) From my perspective, the only thing wrong with it is the sometimes awful consequences to yourself and those around you. Meaning cheating isn't respectable yet; a lot of people consider it immoral and there are others who would cheer it on when someone else was involved but couldn't accept it happening in their marriages.

The solution would be to drop the hypocrisy and admit that some people are not by nature monogamous. It doesn't mean she doesn't love you. It means she loves someone else, too - or at minimum that the same meat night after night (even if it's porterhouse) doesn't always add to your love of life. (Although I know a guy who eats salmon for dinner every night, and he's either perfectly happy or has no idea what happiness is.)

The present solution is to send the non-monogamous into therapy. Why is it shrinks want to kill all the fun?

Maybe those Mormons are onto something. Except for the "preying on innocents" part.

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Monday, May 12, 2008

UP TO YOU


Chuck Schumer is saying there could be an Obama-Clinton ticket. Chuck Schumer knows. So let's take a look at that mess:

1) Obama picks up all of Hillary's negatives.

2) Obama picks up Hillary's feminists, who no doubt will be convinced that Hillary will overrun Obama and run that show. She won't do it with her charm, of course. She could do it with her balls.

3) Obama stays above it all and Hillary does the dirty work. Perfect type casting. Two diametrically opposed messages beaming out to the voters.

4) Obama has an uncontrollable veep, who is as likely to take direction from Obama as she is from her husband - i.e., zero in both cases.

5) The Obama organization - reputedly the best ever - is shredded by merger with the Clinton organization. Or the two of them spend the whole general fighting each other.

6) Hillary drinks a lot more beer, and white workers flock to her. She teaches them that Clos du Bois is rather nice, too.

7) All the over sixty ladies who insist on Hillary don't have to remember that they will probably outlive Obama and get to vote for a woman before they die at age 105.

8) Hillary overruns Obama and runs the show.

I don't like it much. We report. You decide.

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TODAY'S HOMEWORK

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Sunday, May 11, 2008

ISRAEL'S BIRTHDAY PRESENT FROM 23/6


OFF THE TRACK


Here's where many religious people go wrong:

The point of religion is to bring you into harmony with the defining and guiding spirit of the universe. I don't happen to believe in that spirit, but I have no problem with anyone else believing it. You may conceive of God as a hateful, vengeful Thing. You're mentally ill, but that's your right. If you want to believe that the Bible is the literal truth, go ahead. You're allowed to be an idiot.

The problem begins when religions dictate behavior. Religions have been used to impose moral codes on the theory that otherwise people will kill each other. Obviously religions have not stopped people from killing each other - in fact, quite the contrary. I don't believe you need religion to impose a moral code. If the ancients, instead of invoking God, had simply said that you must behave such and such because your essence and nature as a human being requires it of you, we'd be having a whole lot less problems now. (This is what's condemned in religious quarters as secular humanism.) The ancients didn't do that because they understood their audience - which was no more or less benighted then than it is now.

But I will accept religion as a source of a moral code for some - as long as that code does not do damage to others. It's when that code and that religion turns away from introspection and self-perfection and begins to judge and accuse others that it goes off the track. And if that religion posits that God requires you to hate, despise and kill non-believers, an end has got to be put to it.

Of course, no religion necessarily posits any such thing. But every religion has some language in its texts - put there for various probably political reasons of the time in which it was inserted - and people who forget that their purpose in religion is to "get right with God" and concentrate instead on making other people either get right with this God or pay the price will use those texts for their various purposes, as they define for themselves what "getting right" means.

So we don't need to condemn any religion. On the other hand, those who project their religion outwards on others, in harmful ways, are no less criminals than people who break a penal code. And should be treated in exactly the same way.

Somehow we've gotten the idea that there are no limits on religious free speech. In the old days, it would have been difficult to conclude that the words of a preacher in Galveston would pose much of a threat to anyone, no matter how full of hate those words were. But now that preacher is on TV and the internet, and the risk of adverse consequences from exclusionary speech has been very seriously heightened. At least that's what Joe Lieberman says (about Muslims and the internet) - although he forgets he's been guilty of some very public hate speech himself.

The rule for Muslims, Jews, Christians and everybody else should be: if you preach hatred or mayhem (and people take you seriously, or you know you're preaching to people who don't have the moral basis not to act on what you preach), then you ought to go to jail. In America, anyway. You're a "clear and present danger" and we need protection from you. Religion won't provide it. The laws of humanity will.

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THE CORE OF ALL RELIGIONS IS THE GOLDEN RULE


The following is an (I'm sure) greatly simplified explanation of the tenets of Buddhism. But as simple as it is, it seems to me clearly the way to dig out of the hole our atrocious conduct has left us in.

The Eightfold Path

1. Right view is the true understanding of the four noble truths - which are: 1. Life is suffering; 2. Suffering is due to attachment; 3. Attachment can be overcome; 4. There is a path for accomplishing this.

2. Right aspiration is the true desire to free oneself from attachment, ignorance, and hatefulness.

3. Right speech involves abstaining from lying, gossiping, or hurtful talk.

4. Right action involves abstaining from hurtful behaviors, such as killing, stealing, and careless sex.

5. Right livelihood means making your living in such a way as to avoid dishonesty and hurting others, including animals. (Back to the Golden Rule again.)

6. Right effort is a matter of exerting oneself in regards to the content of one's mind: Bad qualities should be abandoned and prevented from arising again; Good qualities should be enacted and nurtured.

7. Right mindfulness is the focusing of one's attention on one's body, feelings, thoughts, and consciousness in such a way as to overcome craving, hatred, and ignorance.

8. Right concentration is meditating in such a way as to progressively realize a true understanding of imperfection, impermanence, and non-separateness.

If you reach these states, says Buddha, you're in a no-lose situation.

'Suppose there is a hereafter and there is a fruit, result, of deeds done well or ill. Then it is possible that at the dissolution of the body after death, I shall arise in the heavenly world, which is possessed of the state of bliss.'

'Suppose there is no hereafter and there is no fruit, no result, of deeds done well or ill. Yet in this world, here and now, free from hatred, free from malice, safe and sound, and happy, I keep myself.'

'Suppose evil (results) befall an evil-doer. I, however, think of doing evil to no one. Then, how can ill (results) affect me who do no evil deed?'

'Suppose evil (results) do not befall an evil-doer. Then I see myself purified in any case.'


As Buddha said to the Kalamas: Do not go upon what has been acquired by repeated hearing; nor upon tradition; nor upon rumor; nor upon what is in a scripture; nor upon surmise; nor upon an axiom; nor upon specious reasoning; nor upon a bias towards a notion that has been pondered over; nor upon another's seeming ability ...

So simple. Works for me.

The danger with Buddhism is that, if you enter into the folklore, mythology and Hindu terminology of Buddhism, you risk losing touch with the fundamental truths, and you begin to use the religion to justify yourself, picking out (as so many Christians do) this or that smidgen of doctrine or text or ritual as endorsements of conduct which not only have nothing to do with the essence of the belief, but often directly contradict it. It seems to me that all the accretions of Buddhism - mantras, etc. - are intended only to be tools to comprehend those truths. But those truths are so simple - why do you need help? Why don't you understand what man owes man?

The exact same thing can be said of Christianity, Judaism, Islam. You don't need the trappings. You just need to believe the core of all these religions - which is the Golden Rule. If you can't do that, you're wasting your time - and you're fucking up my world, and I wish you'd stop.

Oops - I just blew No. 3. Guess I've got some work to do.

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MICHELLE


It seems to me that once Obama locks up the nomination, his wife might be very useful in winning over those female Hillaryites who swear they'll stay away in the general. Michelle Obama is at least as aggressively feminist as Hillary - and for those people, Barack Obama's enticements will not be enough.

But if that's going to work, she'd better learn to take political advice. She has a tendency not to think of - or maybe be aware of - the consequences of some of the things she says. Like this, for example. You wouldn't want to hate your wife because she lost you an election, would you?

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USED TO BE TRUE


In this article, Jonathon Chait points out - correctly, I think - that Hillary Clinton has become a conservative populist. As Chait explains it, "(c)onservative populism and liberal populism are entirely different things. Liberal populism posits that the rich wield disproportionate influence over the government and push for policies often at odds with most people's interest. Conservative populism, by contrast, dismisses any inference that the rich and the non-rich might have opposing interests as "class warfare." Conservative populism prefers to divide society along social lines, with the elites being intellectuals and other snobs who fancy themselves better than average Americans."

In other words, conservative populists turn cultural aversion into hatred of "the other" to divert the average person from focusing on real opposition. The hatred is based on no rational assessment.

Perhaps the people who used this technique the best were the Nazis. I say perhaps because it's possible some other group did it better - although I can't think of any.

So it pains me to find so many notable Jews doing what the Nazis did. It pains me that Jews attack intellectuals - that is entirely anti-cultural, and bizarre (although of course the Jews who are doing it are, in fact, intellectuals, and it's only liberal intellectuals who are to be despised - the word "liberal" having been for years for conservatives what the word "Jew" was for the Nazis. If there's anyone out there who fancies himself better than other Americans, it is - for many reasons - the conservative Jew. And every time he's successful at this propaganda technique, he becomes more convinced of his superiority.)

I've said many times that I'm saddened to hear about amoral Jews. I begin now to think that the Six Day War started all this - turning some Jews (who never have actually been at war) into people who believe that military (or extremely politically aggressive) means are the most effective for getting what they want. Of course, when liberals call American conservatives "chicken hawks", they're talking about Jews - because let's face it, there ain't but a sprinkling of Jews in the US military, and, as I said, these folks ain't been in the Israeli army either.

It's a different story in Israel; those folks (sorry, Susan Jacoby) have been in the trenches. If they believe that guns are their only protection, I'm sorry about that but at least they have an inkling of what they're talking about.

Somebody needs to go to New York and Washington and take the Jews I'm talking about into a closet and straighten them out. Turning Jews from scholars to warriors (that would be virtual warriors, video gamers, in the case of American Jews), while to some extent necessary, has gone much too far.

I am by no means saying that only Jews are guilty of this. But I think, in a strange sort of way, that the loss of moral compass by American Jews has a lot to do with the miserable state the country is in. Jews always prided themselves in being the world's moral compass. I'm just Jewish enough to believe that used to be true.

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Saturday, May 10, 2008

THE EAGLES


Tonight, sitting in hotel room, watching The Eagles Live in Melbourne on my iTouch ... my God, the writing, the singing, the incredible playing ... forty years of songs, one better than the other ... nearly three hours of music ... Completely life-affirming, even though Don Henley writes even more depressing songs than I used to. I now feel there is a balance to Bush and Cheney. We just need to convince these guys to keep it up, because there will be a hole in the world if they don't.

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TODAY'S REQUIRED READING

Just click.

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NO MORE OF THAT


If you read Charlie Savage's Takeover: The Return of the Imperial Presidency, one of the things that strikes you is that the Bush Administration's sophisticated use of language was far more developed than Clinton's was. They issued statement after statement which meant exactly the opposite of what it at first appeared to mean. Only a careful reading - probably with the same mindset as that which created the statement (meaning a lawyer's mindset) - would reveal the truth, and with the general lack of awareness of language which now afflicts even those who make their living using it, there was pretty much no chance of that kind of examination happening.

Now, this certainly wasn't Bush's language - and I don't think it was Cheney's, although what the language said came directly from his brain. It was lawyer's language, but it was the type of language used by a lawyer who is entirely disconnected from any sense of ethics or morality and who uses language not as something expository but as something which hides.

It's difficult to understand why they bothered to use this language when Congress, the press and the courts would do anything they asked. Why didn't they just say "fuck you, this is what we're going to do," rather than hide their real intentions behind language?

And I think the reason is that for these Jesuitical cavilists, language is the tool they're best suited to use. And it's not just that they think sneakiness is essential, but that it is their most comfortable milieu. If you really want to understand what these people are saying or doing, and you don't have the language skills of a corporate lawyer, all you have to do is understand how the moral imperative has been gouged out of them. Probably their parents' fault, or they're all somehow autistic. But the personality type is a pretty good predictor of the approach they'd take to governing you.

And that, more than anything, is why I don't want Hillary. Both she and her husband are cavilists - but, at least until recently, Bill put that skill in service to his dick. She's put it in service to her ambition. And I'm not convinced that she doesn't believe she's right as strongly as any Jesuit. And I don't want no more of that, please.

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DON'T ASK

The Huffington Post put up a list of potential Obama VP candidates. Here's my take:

The critical question is whether they are controllable. No VP is going to be a puppet-master like Cheney with Obama in the presidency, but if I were Obama I'd want someone who is fit to step into the presidency immediately (for reasons I will not bother to state), and someone who will not fight him every step of the way. So:

JIM WEBB: Don't know enough about him.

HILLARY CLINTON: Would be a complete pain in the ass as Veep. If Obama picks her, he better lay in a big stock of Tylenol. And he'd have a lot of explaining to do to a lot of his supporters.

BILL RICHARDSON: yeah, great experience, nice guy, but a terrible politician. The best he could do would be to sap the campaign's energy.

JOE BIDEN: Please. We need him in the Senate.

BRIAN SCHWIETZER: Montana governor. They love him there. Will they love him in Jersey? I haven't a clue.

JANET NAPOLITANO: Governor in somewhere in the West. Ditto. Okay, she's a woman, but how much help was Geraldine Ferraro? She'd have to get really well known really fast.

SHERROD BROWN: From Ohio. Economic populist and hates the war. But what else?

CHUCK HAGEL: Maybe. If he's even remotely interested.

WESLEY CLARK: Maybe. Not a great candidate. But good credentials. I like him.

KATHLEEN SEBELIUS: Why?

TOM DASCHLE: That would really stick it to the Republicans. But does Obama want someone who's already had his ass kicked?

MIKE BLOOMBERG: From the point of view of competence, a pretty good idea. But can Kansas handle his ego?

I think it'll be someone else. Don't ask me who. Al Gore would be among the best choices. But I can't see him being interested.

I guess Edwards really didn't want to be Veep, since he wouldn't endorse Obama. But I wouldn't rule out Obama asking him. He may be rich, but I don't think he'd be perceived as an elitist.

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RECALL THE BOOB


Sen. Joe Lieberman, of all people, chairs the Senate Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs Committee, which has just released a panel report concluding that terrorist groups have stepped up their appeals to English-speaking audiences, including those in the United States.

The report, warning that such appeals could foment homegrown terrorism, is urging the U.S. government to do more to isolate and discredit the violent extremist ideology.

Lieberman: "Our committee investigation found that terrorists are skillfully using the Internet to spread their propaganda across national borders and cultural barriers, permitting anyone with the inclination and in Internet connection to immerse themselves in the hate-filled messages of radical Islam, to receive training, and weapons and tactics and to build in cyberspace the kind of group support that once required travel to overseas training camps."

Yeah? And? Exactly what does Lieberman have in mind? Extinguishing more civil liberties? Taking laptops away from American Muslims? Or attacking Iran?

N.B.: there is precisely no data in this report, nothing which would support even the suggestion that this English-language al Qaeda propaganda effort - which, by the way, is not new, so can you think of why this closet neocon would put this report out now? - is likely to have any success at all.

Just as a reminder, the following is Fox News' list of the prosecutions of Muslims in America which have any relationship to the "war on terror":

In Florida, the retrial of six of the "Liberty City Seven" is coming to a close. The group members, who allegedly plotted to destroy the Sears Tower in Chicago and swore allegiance to Al Qaeda on a secret FBI surveillance tape, were arrested in June 2006. Their first trial ended in a not-guilty verdict for one defendant and a mistrial for the other six. These were the morons who, if I remember, had no weapons and had never been to Chicago.

In Washington state, the murder trial has begun for Pakistani-American Naveed Haq, who is accused of opening fire in Seattle's Jewish Federation Building in July 2006, killing one woman and wounding five others. Haq allegedly said he was mad at the Jews and how they are running the country. This is homegrown Islamic terror? This is another nutcase - like the Columbine killers. Any evidence al Qaeda told him to do it?

In Michigan, a preliminary hearing is scheduled for Houssein Zorkot, a Lebanese-born medical student at Wayne State University in Detroit who posted on his Web site in September 2007 that he was launching a personal jihad. He was arrested that same day in a nearby park, wearing camouflage paint and holding a loaded AK-47. He's walking around a park in camo paint with an AK-47??! If this is the best al Qaeda can do, exactly what are we afraid of?

In South Carolina a trial is set for Youssef Megahed and Ahmed Mohamed, two University of South Florida students who officials say had pipe bombs in their car when they were caught speeding near the Goose Creek weapons base.

With all due respect, America is full of crazy people, and some of them are killers. It's been like that since the days the Lone Ranger roamed the West. But to use any of this to justify any action relating to terrorism is lunatic.

I am certainly not suggesting that we do not watch those jihadi websites. But calling them an actual threat is pure Republican politics. As is just about anything Lieberman is connected with these days.

Come on, Connecticut, recall this boob.

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Friday, May 09, 2008

SO MUCH

One hopes that by now the Obama campaign - and the Clinton campaign, too, if she seriously believes she has a chance - has put together an authoritative list of every illegal, dictatorial, unethical and corrupt action taken by Bush and the Republican Congress in the last eight years. And that they will be asking John McCain, in the next few months, which of them he supported and which he still supports.

It would be a very long list, so I hope they've got a lot of it together already. McCain will have a hard time with it, because - among other things - although he presents himself as a thoughtful guy, I don't think he's quite as bright as I used to think he was. And from the methods Obama's campaign is used, it's clear he's got a lot of bright help - and by bright I don't just mean intellectually capable, but actually approaching matters with clear heads.

There's so much that has to be said.

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OH MY GOD, THIS IS DUMB

This could be the stupidest story I've read in days ... hours ... minutes ...

Jeanna Bryner
Senior Writer
LiveScience.com
Wed May 7, 8:32 AM ET

Individuals with conservative ideologies are happier than liberal-leaners, and new research pinpoints the reason: Conservatives rationalize social and economic inequalities.

Regardless of marital status, income or church attendance, right-wing individuals reported greater life satisfaction and well-being than left-wingers, the new study found. Conservatives also scored highest on measures of rationalization, which gauge a person's tendency to justify, or explain away, inequalities.

The rationalization measure included statements such as: "It is not really that big a problem if some people have more of a chance in life than others," and "This country would be better off if we worried less about how equal people are."

To justify economic inequalities, a person could support the idea of meritocracy, in which people supposedly move up their economic status in society based on hard work and good performance. In that way, one's social class attainment, whether upper, middle or lower, would be perceived as totally fair and justified.

If your beliefs don't justify gaps in status, you could be left frustrated and disheartened, according to the researchers, Jaime Napier and John Jost of New York University. They conducted a U.S.-centric survey and a more internationally focused one to arrive at the findings.

"Our research suggests that inequality takes a greater psychological toll on liberals than on conservatives," the researchers write in the June issue of the journal Psychological Science, "apparently because liberals lack ideological rationalizations that would help them frame inequality in a positive (or at least neutral) light."

The results support and further explain a Pew Research Center survey from 2006, in which 47 percent of conservative Republicans in the U.S. described themselves as "very happy," while only 28 percent of liberal Democrats indicated such cheer.

The same rationalizing phenomena could apply to personal situations as well.

"There is no reason to think that the effects we have identified here are unique to economic forms of inequality," the researchers write. "Research suggests that highly egalitarian women are less happy in their marriages compared with their more traditional counterparts, apparently because they are more troubled by disparities in domestic labor."

The current study was funded by the National Science Foundation.


Oh yeah?

Since when is happiness based entirely on how comfortable you are with inequalities?

Look - conservatives have been very happy for two reasons: 1) they've been running the country, and 2) they have no doubts. About anything. Conservatives rationalize away not only inequalities, but anything that doesn't fit with or support what they believe. This is a kind of Alzheimer's happiness - if you don't know how fucked up you are, you're going to be very happy. Liberals always know how fucked up they are. And how fucked up you are.

On the other hand: those conservatives in the closet haunting airport mens' rooms .. and the guys who are cheating on their wives ... they can't be all that happy, right?

And they're going to be miserable if Obama wins.

How much did they pay this woman to come up with this junk?

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COMPENDIUM

For a compendium of things going on right now of which you have no idea - because the media is reporting none of it - read this.

Thursday, May 08, 2008

SUSAN JACOBY

I have been reading Susan Jacoby's The Age of American Unreason, and it has been a very annoying experience - because at first blush I find myself agreeing with her. but at second condemning both of us for being stodgy and crotchety.

Her premise is essentially the same as the Dana Carvey SNL character who always began his diatribes with: "In my day ..." That's another reason why the book is annoying - but that reaction does not address the question of whether or not she is right.

Giving more credit to her basic premise, it is, as she says in her Introduction, that America has lost "the vibrant and varied intellectual life so essential to functional democracy." And I look around me and, frankly, I do not see much of that intellectual life. But I've become convinced that's my fault, not society's.

Leaving aside the introduction, her first cavil is that President Bush calls people "folks." She condemns this as an exclusionary signal (basically the establishment of "us (folks)" against "them (whatevers)." Somehow I don't get the feeling this kind of signal is exactly new. When, for example, sociologists create an entirely new language filled with unintelligible nouns and verbs, they do it to exclude. Every social grouping has exclusionary language. It's a natural consequence of the formation of the group in the first place. Who needs a group if it isn't exclusive?

She then condemns the word "folks" as a debasement of public speech, and a refusal to deal with the seriousness of topics being discussed. She says no president before the 1980's would have used the word. Maybe that's true, but a whole lot of non-presidents were using it regularly.

What she's saying is that current public speech is not uplifting to her. I.e., that it isn't what she's used to getting a thrilled reaction from. And it's from this perspective, really, that she judges everything. "What I like is good. What I don't like is bad." Nothing new about that either, but everyone who says that is not objectively correct.

She notes that Bush's "speeches" (my quotes) don't come up to the level of Lincoln, Stevenson, Roosevelt or JFK. But is this a new phenomenon? Give me a break. Were Eisenhower, Truman, Nixon, Johnson, Bush 1 great public speakers? Calvin Coolidge? James Buchanan? Some of our presidents were great public speakers. Most were not. The problem is not that public speech is debased (Obama proves that point) but that great public speakers do not, and have never, come around every day. It's not anti-intellectualism that explains bad public speaking. It's lack of talent. Ronald Reagan never had anything intellectual to say, but he was certainly a good public speaker, and a lot of people found what he had to say uplifting in just the same way that Jacoby reacted to Roosevelt.

She says nearly all Americans are afflicted by a poverty of language that cheapens humor and serious discourse alike. But, again, none of this is new. Most Americans have always been ignorant of rich language. If they weren't, they'd all be novelists. I think the real problem for her is that, as opposed to her younger years when she was surrounded (maybe) by people who had something to say and some art in saying it, these days she has to listen to people who have neither. It's not that no one's speaking well. The same type of people who spoke well in her youth still do. Her real gripe - and it's legitimate - is that people with nothing to say and no art in saying it are being given a media platform to say nothing artlessly.

And so on. I don't want to make this too long, but I'll come back to the topic soon.

THE BEST ARTICLE ON POLITICS I'VE EVER SEEN

Read it.

THE CPI IS BULLSHIT

I have been saying that the CPI is bullshit for years. Anybody who's bought anything since the late 90's knows it from personal experience. This article by Kevin Phillips in the Huffpo explains why no one else has been talking about it - sort of. What it doesn't explain is why it took Phillips so long to get around to it.

If there's ever been a good reason to believe that Washington is under the thumb of the oligarchs, this is it.

Washington's Great "No Inflation" Hoax

Posted May 8, 2008 | 10:00 AM (EST)

Billionaire California bond manager Bill Gross calls it "a haute con job." Bloomberg News columnist John Wasik describes it as "a testament to the art of economic spin." More and more shoppers and consumer simply disbelieve it.

The subject of this scorn is the federal government's vaunted Consumer Price Index or CPI. Americans are now beginning to understand that this indicator has its own share of gimmicks not unlike a sub-prime mortgage or the six pages of fine print that accompanies your credit card agreement.

Some of these CPI ingredients -- product substitution weightings, "hedonics" (price reductions for added product quality or satisfaction), and use of owner's equivalent rent (instead of home ownership costs) -- have a comic aspect suitable to mockery by Bill Maher, Stephen Colbert or Jon Stewart. But in a larger sense, they're not remotely funny. That's because the federal minimalization and misrepresentation of inflation, pursued statistically over the last 25 years, has been the main buttress of Washington's over-favorable and self-serving portraiture of the U.S. economy.

Distortions aplenty have followed. Some of the most pernicious include the shortchanging of federal pension and Social Security obligations and cost of living increases, a parallel shortchanging of cost-of-living increases in wage contracts tied to the federal CPI, the suppression of equitable interest payments on bank accounts and certificates of deposit, and the camouflaging of weak U.S. economic growth through inadequate adjustments for inflation. The benefits to the executive branch in Washington jump out -- huge annual federal savings on Social Security and pension outlays, as well as on the amount of interest paid on the federal government's multi-trillion-dollar debt. Some $250 billion a year could be involved.

If many individuals are losers, many businesses and financial institutions have been winners. Minimal cost-of-living increases favor corporations, while low interest rates make money cheaper to the financial sector. In particular, the gargantuan $10 trillion increase in financial-sector debt since 1994 could become unmanageable if mounting inflation forced borrowing costs up to 8% or 9%. And it is axiomatic regarding equities that when rates rise in the bond market, that competition usually undercuts stock market values.

In short, there have been three big gainers from understatement of U.S. inflation: the federal government, wage-paying businesses and the institutions and markets of the swollen U.S. financial sector. But skeptics have a weighty counter: Okay, it's easy to understand how they all might profit from understating inflation. But if the understatement is patently false, how can they hope to get away with it?

In fact, the belief by many conservative U.S. economists that inflation is under control, despite global indications to the contrary (including soaring commodity and energy prices), has a major ideological component -- their fidelity to monetarist economic principles (that only money supply expansion can create inflation) and to the Efficient Markets Hypothesis (that markets process all available information, so that if inflation were serious, markets would have reacted already). As late as January, monetarists on the Federal Reserve Board, notably Chairman Ben Bernanke and colleague Frederic Mishkin, believed in the new-version CPI and argued that U.S. inflationary expectations were safely "anchored."

Financial economists and money managers generally agree. A late April survey of 120 U.S. institutional money managers by Barron's, the financial weekly, found that on average, they predicted a CPI inflation rate of 2.72% in December 2008 and just 2.79% in December 2009. Elsewhere in the world, central bankers and politicians are worrying about another wave of commodity inflation akin to that in the 1970s, but U.S. money managers take comfort in the Efficient Market Hypothesis and in the wisdom and sanctity of the CPI.

Critics, by contrast, smell a potential disaster. Oil is up over 80 percent in the last twelve months. The New York Times' consumer reporter, W.P. Dunleavy, wrote on May 3 that his own groceries now cost $587 a month, up from $400 a year earlier. That's a 40 percent increase. Reports in the financial press make frequent reference to foreign investors who distrust the U.S. dollar because they calculate true U.S. inflation at 6% to 9% including food and energy.

California economist John Williams, who runs an organization called Shadow Statistics, contends that if Washington still used the CPI measurements applied back in the 1970s, inflation would be in the 10 percent range. My own analysis, set out in much more detail in an article in the May issue of Harper's, comports with that of the cynical foreign investors.

Therein lies the danger. If the current inflation rate is really 6-9 percent instead of the 2-3 percent claimed by government and most U.S. money managers, then Washington's official estimates that the economy still grew at a rate of some 0.6 percent in the first quarter of 2008 become nonsense. Subtracting a 6-9 percent inflation rate from nominal GDP growth would identify an economy that was deteriorating and shrinking, not growing. Concerned foreign dollar-holders would become even more concerned.

In theory, a vigilant Congress might want to hold hearings, but in practice I suspect not. Democratic presidents (notably Bill Clinton) have been involved in the numbers game along with Republican administrations. Neither party has clean hands. Far more likely that any serious investigation will be mounted clandestinely by central banks or sovereign wealth funds in places like China, Singapore and Saudi Arabia as part of their ongoing study of just how much longer they can continue to support a deteriorating U.S. dollar. It is not a happy prospect.

Kevin Phillips's new book Bad Money: Reckless Finance, Failed Politics and the Global Crisis of American Capitalism was published by Viking in April. His article on untrustworthy government statistics ("Numbers Racket") appears in the May issue of Harper's.

Sunday, May 04, 2008

VEGAS ON THE EUPHRATES - I BET THEY CAN HARDLY WAIT


Read this and then think about this:

Wasn't this the sort of thing that set off Osama bin Laden?

They'd probably love this kind of Arab amusement park for non-Arabs in Dubai or Abu Dhabi. But Iraq is home to some of the most sacred Shi'a shrines. And I doubt Iraqis think like the folks in Dubai, which is run by aristocrats and would love to take all the American money they can get. After all, we didn't invade Dubai. We didn't kill their neighbors. And I don't think Iraqis are sweet-tempered like Laotians and will welcome American tourists into their very center.

Right?

MORE BLUMENTHAL

More on the Blumenthal saga from Carl Bernstein - and, by the way, kudos to Hillary Clinton for a history I had no idea she had and wish she had stuck with.

Saturday, May 03, 2008

MICHELLE'S MOUTH

The other day I saw Michelle and Barack Obama interviewed on TV. I've already forgotten what show it was. But what struck me was this:

Michelle kept talking.

There were a number of occasions when Barack interrupted her or put his hand out to stop her. He was clearly afraid she was going to say something dangerous. She didn't - but she has, and she could have.

This is a woman who wants to be president as much as Hillary Clinton. She's aggressive and has strong opinions - with which I don't disagree. But remember Teresa Heinz Kerry. A candidate doesn't want people to dislike his wife - or husband.

Then I saw McCain's wife on Jay Leno. She's perfect - deferential but not obsequious, obviously very bright but very self-contained. With all her money, she doesn't need to be president. That was true of Teresa Kerry, too - but Mrs. McCain seems more inclined to take a back seat to her husband, at least publicly. She's wise.

WRONG

Obama's supporters insist Hillary can't take the nomination because she can't get enough delegates. I think they're wrong.

What's happening to Obama reminds me of what happened to Howard Dean in 2004. A great start, with the same sort of supporters (in many cases, the identical supporters) - and then the scream and he was finished. Obama's doing better - he's gotten to have two screams. But he has to win North Carolina and probably Indiana to reverse Hillary's momentum and the growing perception that he can't win.

In a nomination battle this close, the backstage folks at the party are going to have their way. Delegate's commitments can be changed - and in the absence of Obama victories, they will be.

Friday, May 02, 2008

IMPEACH SCALIA

When I was growing up I remember there were billboards all over the country saying "Impeach Earl Warren" - our Chief Justice at the time. I don't remember what his crimes were supposed to be - I guess he was just enough of a liberal to be unsuited for high office.

Well - one of the reasons I am hoping Democrats focus on getting a filibuster- and veto-proof majority in Congress is that the next Congress should impeach Antonin Scalia, because he is just enough of a Jesuit to be unsuited for his office. Talk about the definition of what "is" is, this guy could parse coconut shrimp out of a piece of pig shit. He is the clearest example I can remember in my lifetime of what happens when great intelligence interacts with a warped personality. I.e., by any common definition of morality, Mr. Scalia is a very sick man. And arrogant, and contemptuous. When did America change to the point that we would accept a Bill O'Reilly or Sean Hannity type as a justice?

And I will remind the Dems of that, if they get the votes.

DUMB AS THE REST OF US

How come Congress didn't make a law that said if we're going to replace gasoline with ethanol and use corn to make it, we need to grow more corn for the ethanol and not divert corn from food uses? This seems like pretty simple thinking to me.

So how come no one can think beyond the actual words of a sentence like "we need more ethanol?" Because nobody in a power place gives a shit whether people need corn to eat, or about how much it's going to cost. Ethanol is good for the farmers - particularly the big ones. We should have learned in the last decades that free markets do not necessarily make decisions for the common benefit. If we don't know or care what's in our own best interests, the market is free to take advantage of us.

The argument is that ethanol is green - but it emits at least as much CO2 as gasoline. Unfortunately, that's like most green arguments today - they're not intended to do anything except make the consumer feel good.

I am coming to the conclusion that Darwin was wrong. Either there was no evolution, or it's stopped. This is not an argument for intelligent design. If there's a God, He's as dumb as the rest of us. Which should not be surprising - we are made in His image, no? Or, as I look at it, He's made in our image. Either way, He's as smart or dumb as each of us conceives Him to be, and if we're not too bright, we're not likely to think up a real smart God.

And I also now believe that, outside of medicine, some technology and some pure science, the mark of real intelligence is considered to be mastery of a scam. That's what we respect these days - brass balls. So there are bright people out there - but they're the enemy.

SHAME ON SIDNEY BLUMENTHAL

Sidney Blumenthal has been one of my heroes. But if this article by Peter Dreier is correct, Blumenthal goes straight to the bottom of my pile.

According to Dreier, Blumenthal has, among other things, been passing around the "information" that Obama knew an alleged Communist when he was in high school. He got this "information" from a right-wing punk.

If it's true, what it proves to me is that Obama was thinking and politically aware in high school - which, in this country, is and has been as rare as rocking horse manure. Leaving aside the obvious absurdity of attacking someone for what they did or thought in high school - a rather early beginning of the usual bright human's struggle to understand his or her world, which usually begins (if ever) in college - how many of Blumenthal's family were Communists or Communist-leaning in the '30's? With people of Blumenthal's mindset ( or what I used to think was his mindset) it's a pretty safe bet that he got that mindset with the help of family elders, and in those days plenty of Jews were Communists. So okay, do we tar Blumenthal with what his family believed?

Which bring me to another point.

Dreier's article mentions that Blumenthal has been circulating material by Sol Stern, a former 60s leftist who has moved to the opposite end of the political spectrum, serving at one point as a political advisor to Rudy Giuliani.

Most of the people who have moved from hard left to hard right (neocons) are Jewish. And I wonder: what is it about these Jews that makes it possible for them to shift so completely from a pro-democratic to an anti-democratic position?

Maybe this is the answer:

Although the left in the '60's was supposed to be about empowering the people, there was an element (similar to many Communists, and probably taught by their Communist grandparents) which believed that they knew what the people needed, and that it was their right and duty to give the people whatever this was. When the movement (which in very large part was fueled by the Jewish moral sense implied in the Golden Rule) failed, they turned to another movement which had political power and money and was in a better position to impose their views on the rest of us. They still couch their phraseology in terms of freedom and democracy (as in the "reason" to invade Iraq), but that freedom and that democracy are available only to a limited few, and everyone else is intended to give those few that freedom and pretend that the freedom extends downward to everyone. It's supply-side economics translated to politics.

Why are so many of them Jews? Now I'm going to say something no Jew wants to admit. And I'm Jewish, so call me a whistle-blower.

The thing that allows some Jews to get a good night's sleep is the belief that Jews are the chosen people - brighter, better educated, and inherently worthy of success (particularly validated by the Holocaust and the imposition of guilt on the rest of the world.) How much of it comes from religion I don't know - I tend to think all religions encourage this mindset - but it definitely comes from the culture. When some Jews were getting killed on freedom marches, others were talking about their "shvartze" maids.

And here's what I think about that sort of Jew:

It's the same now as when they were leftists or Communists. Anyone who, in order to get where they want to get in life, has to hide inside an ironclad ideology (including a religious doctrine) is pathetic, less than human and unsure of his or her own worth. Or, to invert a famous quote, "I don't think, therefore I am not."

And if you're one of the sick bastards who created that ideology (such as Milton Friedman and Irving Kristol), you were no doubt thinking, but your arrogance is immeasurable, and I wish you were still pushing a pushcart on the Lower East Side, where you could learn a bit about what's good for the rest of humanity from those socialists who, in common effort, created Jewish success in America. You know, like labor unions, one of your current bete noirs?

Some Jew worked real hard so you could go to Harvard. (Call it affirmative action for Jews). Why do you betray that person's motivation? Without it, you never would have gotten to Goldman Sachs. They must be up in heaven looking down and thinking: God forgive me, look what I did! I made a neocon!

You may be brighter and better educated. You may be more talented than the average goy. But if you don't see an obligation to humanity as a whole, you are simply not a Jew. (Or at least not an American Jew. For information on Kabbalistic Jews who believe that the Jew is by God's decree superior to the goyim, see my blog at tenthcow.com - or better yet read my novel "The Tenth Cow." I don't believe this thinking is very prevalent in America. At least not consciously. It may be in some of our genes.)

And if you participate in character assassination and the cynical use of worthless information to turn less intelligent goyim into your tools, what you are is a son of a bitch.

And the worst of it is that Blumenthal is pushing this crap to get Hillary nominated. From which I extrapolate that Hillary is one of those who's moving from left to right. Except she was a Goldwater Republican when SDS was around. So how far left can she ever have been?

But then, she isn't Jewish. So anything goes for her.