A DAILY INNOCULATION AGAINST POLITICAL AND CULTURAL BULLSHIT

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"Plus ça change, cher, n'est-ce pas?" - Mémé Aureole Petite

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Mr. Petite has been an adviser to both the Bush and Obama administrations (neither of which ever asked for his advice) and is a Senior Fellow at (and is supported entirely by) the Ethics and Theory Institute of Terminology (EATIT), a foundation underwritten by the parents of a United States Senator in return for Mr. Petite's silence on certain important matters.

Mr. Petite is a native of virtual New Orleans, and therefore a legal immigrant to his actual residence, so he has never had to do migrant farm work or landscaping. (He did do some shrimping in the virtual bayous on some of the days he played hookey from school.) His sole contact with actual onions is in some of the better gumbos.

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Thursday, October 30, 2008

THE MARGIN

According to the Daily Kos national tracking poll, McCain has been doing exactly what he said he would do - picking up one point a day. The race is now 50-45. Obama's percentage hasn't moved, which suggests what I have been saying: any movement among undecideds will go to McCain.

What we are seeing is the Bradley effect, so to speak - only it isn't secret this time. These are voters who were reluctant to say they were going to vote against a black, but have decided at the last minute to announce themselves. There was never any possibility Obama could get these votes.

The big question, as I said a few days ago, is how many undecideds won't vote at all. Because that is going to be the margin of an Obama victory.

UPDATE: Obama is up one today. Surprise to me.

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